$118.900
+2.651 (+2.23%)At close
Price Predictions
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BABA Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Alphio's BABA stock price prediction model matches the current Alibaba Group Holding Limited tape against historical breakout patterns, then publishes 1-day and 1-week targets first. The 1-day print is $118.29 (-0.51%). The 1-week path is $118.16 (-0.62%). Longer windows use the same pattern set plus seasonality; the 1-month and multi-year forecasts sit behind unlock because they include precise min / avg / max bands.
Should I Buy Alibaba Group Holding Limited Stock?
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is not a strong buy at the current price of $118.90 due to recent negative catalysts, including a significant secondary share offering that could dilute existing shareholders by approximately 8.4%. Additionally, the stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 23.65%, indicating ongoing investor caution. While the forward P/E ratio is low at 19.53, suggesting potential undervaluation, the recent class action lawsuits and regulatory concerns present substantial risks. Therefore, it may be prudent for long-term investors to hold their positions rather than buy more at this time.
BABA stock price ended at $118.90 on Friday, after rising +2.23%
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) last closed at $118.9, gaining +2.23%. These facts feed the 1-day and 1-week BABA price prediction above.
Forecast Drivers
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) forecast drivers combine similar chart patterns, seasonality, and moving averages.
Similar patterns
Bullish
Seasonality
Bullish
SMA 20
Bearish
SMA 200
Bearish
Similar Chart Patterns
Stocks whose recent price path most closely matches BABA, ranked by similarity.
Seasonality analysis for BABA
Historically the probability of a positive August return for BABA is 68.25%. September offers the highest probability of a positive month at 100.00%, while March is the weakest seasonal window. Alphio blends this calendar with technical signals and similar chart pattern matching before it writes the forecast.
10-year price projections for BABA
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $117.51 | $133.59 | $138.73 | +12.36% |
| Sep 2026 | $129.40 | $131.80 | $149.32 | +10.85% |
| Oct 2026 | $123.08 | $135.72 | $153.98 | +14.15% |
| Nov 2026 | $131.74 | $133.23 | $151.73 | +12.05% |
| Dec 2026 | $129.22 | $131.88 | $145.08 | +10.92% |
In 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) is projected to range from $117.51 to $153.98.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2026 monthly forecast
In Aug 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is projected to average $133.59, with a low of $117.51 and high of $138.73.
In Sep 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is projected to average $131.80, with a low of $129.40 and high of $149.32.
In Oct 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is projected to average $135.72, with a low of $123.08 and high of $153.98.
In Nov 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is projected to average $133.23, with a low of $131.74 and high of $151.73.
In Dec 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited is projected to average $131.88, with a low of $129.22 and high of $145.08.
This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.