Assured Guaranty Ltd

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Stock Analysis

$70.850

+1.006 (+1.42%)At close

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High
70.970
Open
69.840
VWAP
70.55
Volume
404.59K
Mkt Cap
4.20B
Low
69.840
Amount
28.55M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
12.42

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides credit protection products to the United States and non-United States public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. It also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates, and in the annuity reinsurance business through Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. Its segments include Insurance, Asset Management and Annuity Reinsurance. Through its insurance subsidiaries, the Company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The Asset management segment serves as an investment advisor to primarily collateralized loan obligations and opportunity funds.

AI analysis of Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)

Buy

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a good buy right now due to its current price of $70.85, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $85, suggesting a potential upside of 20%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 11.11 indicates that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. The main risk is the recent earnings report showing a 25.9% negative surprise, which may affect short-term performance.

Analyst Ratings (4)

+46.79% upside
Buy
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 70.85
Low
94.00
Average
104.00
High
110.00

Roth Capital

2026-09-25

Price Target

$85

Buy

UBS

2026-09-14

Price Target

$91

Buy

Keefe Bruyette

2026-08-13

Price Target

$97

Outperform

Keefe Bruyette

2026-07-16

Price Target

$101

Outperform

UBS

2026-05-19

Price Target

$94

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) is 11.11, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.80.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
12.80
Current P/E
11.11
Overvalued
14.34
Undervalued
11.25

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.04
Current EV/EBITDA
12.42
Overvalued
14.18
Undervalued
-6.11

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
4.73
Current P/S
3.64
Overvalued
5.41
Undervalued
4.05

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AGO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AGO

$80.53

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AGO

$79.86

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AGO

$77.37

Scenario price

Whales holding AGO

R

Royce & Associates, LP

+ HoldingAGO

-12.48%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Company Reports Q2 Revenue of $195M, Below Consensus

2026-05-07 (ET)

16:40:00

Assured Guaranty Q1 Revenue Reaches $261M

2026-02-26 (ET)

16:20:00

Assured Guaranty Q4 Revenue Reaches $277M

2026-02-20 (ET)

06:50:00

Assured Guaranty Declares Quarterly Dividend Increase to $0.38

2026-01-21 (ET)

16:30:00

Assured Guaranty Enters Annuity Reinsurance Market by Acquiring Warwick Re

News

AGO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides credit protection products to the United States and non-United States public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. It also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates, and in the annuity reinsurance business through Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. Its segments include Insurance, Asset Management and Annuity Reinsurance. Through its insurance subsidiaries, the Company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The Asset management segment serves as an investment advisor to primarily collateralized loan obligations and opportunity funds. It operates in the Financials sector (SURETY INSURANCE industry).

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a good buy right now due to its current price of $70.85, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $85, suggesting a potential upside of 20%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 11.11 indicates that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. The main risk is the recent earnings report showing a 25.9% negative surprise, which may affect short-term performance.

4 analysts cover AGO: 4 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 104.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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