Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color

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2027年2月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Red/Pink 49.5%
Purple 49.5%
Clear/Water 49.5%
No Gatorade Shower 49.5%
Green/Yellow 48.5%

核心摘要

根據「Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Blue 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Orange 以 4,950% 位居第二,Green/Yellow 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Blue (4,950%):Blue 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Orange (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Orange 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
  • Green/Yellow (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Green/Yellow 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Red/Pink (4,950%)、Purple (4,950%),以及 Clear/Water (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 No Gatorade Shower 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Blue4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
2Orange4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
3Green/Yellow4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
4Red/Pink4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
5Purple4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Clear/Water4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7No Gatorade Shower4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

The Gatorade shower is a celebratory tradition in which the winning head coach of the Super Bowl is doused with Gatorade or a similar liquid.

This market will resolve according to the color of the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LXI.

The Gatorade does not need to visibly land on the head coach, so long as it is clearly poured in celebration directed at them. For the purposes of this market, the liquid does not need to be branded Gatorade.

If no Gatorade shower occurs during the game or the post-game celebration, this market will resolve to “No Gatorade Shower”.

If the color of the Gatorade shower does not clearly match one of the listed options or cannot be definitively determined, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option that most closely matches the observed color.

If Super Bowl LXI is cancelled or postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Gatorade Shower".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Blue 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Orange(4,950%),以及 Green/Yellow(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易