預測市場

即時 Polymarket 事件，附 AI 公允價值分析。

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Alibaba 78.0%

Google 18.3%

OpenAI 1.8%

Meta 1.1%

SpaceXAI 0.7%

熱門

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

成交量$10,370.5

Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

成交量$33,801.3

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

成交量$186,834.7

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

成交量$19,516.7

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

成交量$175,514

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31?

成交量$4,436.6

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

成交量$15,934

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

成交量$514,887.3

Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?

成交量$7,995.7

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

成交量$7,706.5

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

成交量$8,705.2

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

成交量$353,400.4

專業玩家押注

持續盈利交易者的共識押注

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 98.8%

$2,662.1 成交量剩 7 小時20 位專業玩家

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 95.6%

$783 成交量剩 7 小時19 位專業玩家

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 98.5%

$13,669 成交量剩 7 小時19 位專業玩家

Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

專業玩家押注:No 99.9%

$805.2 成交量剩 5 天19 位專業玩家

逆向押注

持續命中超額贏家的交易者的共識押注。

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

逆向押注:Yes 16.2%

$6,701.6 成交量剩 139 天10 位逆向玩家

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?

逆向押注:Yes 3%

$4,634.2 成交量剩 18 天8 位逆向玩家

Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

逆向押注:Yes 8.9%

$1,867.5 成交量剩 52 天8 位逆向玩家

Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?

逆向押注:Yes 17%

$12,348.9 成交量剩 139 天8 位逆向玩家

近乎確定押注

48 小時內結算、收益有限的高機率機會。

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 98.8%

$2,662.1 成交量剩 7 小時20 位專業玩家

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 95.6%

$783 成交量剩 7 小時19 位專業玩家

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 98.5%

$13,669 成交量剩 7 小時19 位專業玩家

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 14?

專業玩家押注:No 96.5%

$1,455.2 成交量剩 7 小時18 位專業玩家

高風險高回報押注

看重風險回報而非命中率的交易者偏好的押注。

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 14?

高風險高回報押注:No 68%

$2,528 成交量剩 7 小時9 位高回報玩家

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?

高風險高回報押注:Yes 31.5%

$10,049.2 成交量剩 7 小時8 位高回報玩家

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 14?

高風險高回報押注:Yes 45%

$3,963.6 成交量剩 7 小時8 位高回報玩家

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?

高風險高回報押注:Yes 40.9%

$6,915.1 成交量剩 7 小時7 位高回報玩家

全部事件

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

總成交量$198,800.2

剩餘剩 2 天

Barnsley FC vs. Crewe Alexandra FC - Total Corners

Total Corners: O/U 7.550%Yes

Total Corners: O/U 8.550%Yes

總成交量—

剩餘剩 12 天

Blackpool FC vs. Lincoln City FC - Total Corners

Total Corners: O/U 7.550%Yes

Total Corners: O/U 8.550%Yes

總成交量—

剩餘剩 12 天

Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC - Total Corners

Total Corners: O/U 7.550%Yes

Total Corners: O/U 8.550%Yes

總成交量—

剩餘剩 14 天

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers - Player Props

Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 0.59%Yes

Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 1.51%Yes

總成交量$52.2

剩餘剩 17 小時

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Player Props

Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.58%Yes

Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.51%Yes

總成交量$34.3

剩餘剩 19 小時

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props

Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.58%Yes

Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.52%Yes

總成交量$144.4

剩餘剩 20 小時

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?

總成交量$246.6

剩餘剩 3 天

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?

總成交量$321.9

剩餘剩 3 天

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner

Arizona Diamondbacks50%Yes

Atlanta Braves50%Yes

總成交量—

剩餘剩 18 小時

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?

總成交量$160.5

剩餘剩 3 天

Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?

總成交量$70

剩餘剩 3 天