Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren

$347 Vol
2026年11月21日
Active
機率趨勢
August Holmgren 53.5%
Sebastian Gorzny 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 以壓倒性的 5,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 以 5,200% 位居第二,Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $347,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 (5,550%):Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 (5,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,200¢。
  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.5 (4,800%)、Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner (4,700%),以及 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren (4,650%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Game Spread +/-0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
3Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
5Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
6Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren4650.0%$3474650¢-4550¢
7Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Game Spread +/-0.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
8Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
9Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and August Holmgren in the Brisbane 3, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Sebastian Gorzny.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

991
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$1.08
成交量
$215.99
持倉數
Sebastian Gorzny
HH2
hhhizli
事件損益
-$0.93
成交量
$185.19
持倉數
August Holmgren
EF3
eFMBS
事件損益
+$0.05
成交量
$143.76
持倉數
August Holmgren
CL4
clownly
事件損益
+$0.43
成交量
$85.15
持倉數
Sebastian Gorzny
XB5
xbqzgkvmnm
事件損益
-$0.47
成交量
$31.17
持倉數
Sebastian Gorzny
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
事件損益
-$0.05
成交量
$9.97
持倉數
Sebastian Gorzny
TJ7
tjab0n
事件損益
-$0.04
成交量
$9.01
持倉數
August Holmgren
YI8
yifen9
事件損益
-$0.03
成交量
$4.99
持倉數
Sebastian Gorzny

常見問題

目前市場對「Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 以 5,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5(5,200%),以及 Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $347,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易