What songs will be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

根據「What songs will be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Public Service Announcement 以壓倒性的 8,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；Empire State of Mind 以 8,050% 位居第二，99 Problems 以 7,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $22.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Public Service Announcement (8,350%)：Public Service Announcement 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Empire State of Mind (8,050%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Empire State of Mind 保持著 8,050% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,050¢。
• 99 Problems (7,900%)：以 7,900% 的機率位列第三，市場對 99 Problems 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 Izzo (H.O.V.A.) (7,550%)、Dirt Off Your Shoulder (6,650%)，以及 Encore (6,100%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.