Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props
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2026年11月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%
核心摘要
根據「Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場；Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)：Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)，以及 Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 47 | Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 48 | Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 49 | Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 50 | Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 51 | Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 52 | Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 53 | Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 54 | Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Jets and Chiefs, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET.
常見問題
目前市場對「Jets vs. Chiefs - Player Props」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5（5,000%），以及 Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5（5,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 —，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。