Pro Football: Jayden Daniels 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

$2.2K Vol
2027年1月27日
Active
機率趨勢
18.5+ passing TDs 31.5%
15.5+ passing TDs 28.5%
27.5+ passing TDs 13.0%
24.5+ passing TDs 12.5%
21.5+ passing TDs 9.0%

核心摘要

根據「Pro Football: Jayden Daniels 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,18.5+ passing TDs 以壓倒性的 3,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;15.5+ passing TDs 以 2,750% 位居第二,27.5+ passing TDs 以 1,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $2.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 18.5+ passing TDs (3,150%):18.5+ passing TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $40 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 15.5+ passing TDs (2,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,15.5+ passing TDs 保持著 2,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,750¢。
  • 27.5+ passing TDs (1,250%):以 1,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 27.5+ passing TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 21.5+ passing TDs (1,150%),以及 24.5+ passing TDs (1,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 21.5+ passing TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
118.5+ passing TDs3150.0%$403150¢-3050¢
215.5+ passing TDs2750.0%$802750¢-2650¢
327.5+ passing TDs1250.0%$411250¢-1150¢
421.5+ passing TDs1150.0%$4111150¢-1050¢
524.5+ passing TDs1150.0%$1.6K1150¢-1050¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Jayden Daniels records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Jayden Daniels does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Jayden Daniels recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Pro Football: Jayden Daniels 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,18.5+ passing TDs 以 3,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 15.5+ passing TDs(2,750%),以及 27.5+ passing TDs(1,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $2.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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