Pro Football: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

$4K Vol
2027年1月27日
Active
機率趨勢
4.5+ receiving TDs 95.0%
6.5+ receiving TDs 84.0%
8.5+ receiving TDs 71.5%
10.5+ receiving TDs 61.0%
12.5+ receiving TDs 26.0%

核心摘要

根據「Pro Football: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,4.5+ receiving TDs 以壓倒性的 9,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;6.5+ receiving TDs 以 8,400% 位居第二,8.5+ receiving TDs 以 7,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 4.5+ receiving TDs (9,500%):4.5+ receiving TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $714 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 6.5+ receiving TDs (8,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,6.5+ receiving TDs 保持著 8,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,400¢。
  • 8.5+ receiving TDs (7,150%):以 7,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 8.5+ receiving TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 10.5+ receiving TDs (6,100%),以及 12.5+ receiving TDs (2,700%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 10.5+ receiving TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
14.5+ receiving TDs9500.0%$7149500¢-9400¢
26.5+ receiving TDs8400.0%$1.3K8400¢-8300¢
38.5+ receiving TDs7150.0%$1.5K7150¢-7050¢
410.5+ receiving TDs6100.0%$1466100¢-6000¢
512.5+ receiving TDs2700.0%$2982700¢-2600¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jaxon Smith-Njigba records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Jaxon Smith-Njigba does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Jaxon Smith-Njigba recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Pro Football: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,4.5+ receiving TDs 以 9,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 6.5+ receiving TDs(8,400%),以及 8.5+ receiving TDs(7,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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