
Pro Football: Garrett Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
核心摘要
根據「Pro Football: Garrett Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,0.5+ receiving TDs 以壓倒性的 9,845% 獲勝機率主導市場;2.5+ receiving TDs 以 7,300% 位居第二,4.5+ receiving TDs 以 6,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $2.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- 0.5+ receiving TDs (9,845%):0.5+ receiving TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,845¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $563 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- 2.5+ receiving TDs (7,300%):作為最可行的替代選項,2.5+ receiving TDs 保持著 7,300% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,300¢。
- 4.5+ receiving TDs (6,450%):以 6,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 4.5+ receiving TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 8.5+ receiving TDs (2,700%),以及 6.5+ receiving TDs (2,300%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 8.5+ receiving TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5+ receiving TDs | 9845.0% | $563 | 9845¢ | -9745¢ |
| 2 | 2.5+ receiving TDs | 7300.0% | $39 | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 3 | 4.5+ receiving TDs | 6450.0% | $1.5K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 4 | 8.5+ receiving TDs | 2700.0% | $68 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 5 | 6.5+ receiving TDs | 2300.0% | $454 | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Garrett Wilson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Garrett Wilson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Garrett Wilson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「Pro Football: Garrett Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,0.5+ receiving TDs 以 9,845% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 2.5+ receiving TDs(7,300%),以及 4.5+ receiving TDs(6,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $2.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
