
Dogecoin Up or Down on November 16?
核心摘要
根據「Dogecoin Up or Down on November 16?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Up 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Down 以 5,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Up (5,000%):Up 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Down (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Down 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Up | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Down | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Nov 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Nov 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
常見問題
目前市場對「Dogecoin Up or Down on November 16?」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Up 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Down(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
