Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov

$3.8K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Grigor Dimitrov 52.0%
Adolfo Vallejo 48.0%

核心摘要

根據「Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 以壓倒性的 6,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 以 5,800% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $3.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 (6,700%):Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $28 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 (5,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,800¢。
  • Completed Match (5,200%):以 5,200% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner (4,900%)、Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.56700.0%$286700¢-6600¢
2Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
3Completed Match5200.0%$1.2K5200¢-5100¢
4Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
5Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov4850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
10Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.54850.0%$2884850¢-4750¢
12Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
13Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.54100.0%$54100¢-4000¢
14Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
15Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%$1313300¢-3200¢
16Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
17Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53000.0%$1313000¢-2900¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Grigor Dimitrov in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Grigor Dimitrov.

This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Adolfo Vallejo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

JA1
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
+$3.62
成交量
$1,312.89
持倉數
Grigor Dimitrov
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
-$4.46
成交量
$893.00
持倉數
Adolfo Vallejo
843
0x84e0…9041
事件損益
-$2.40
成交量
$480.77
持倉數
Grigor Dimitrov
AS4
asdsadfsdfr5
事件損益
-$159.60
成交量
$380.00
持倉數
Yes
DF5
dfsdfsdfB2
事件損益
+$159.60
成交量
$380.00
持倉數
No
WA6
wapol-E
事件損益
+$1.28
成交量
$255.38
持倉數
Adolfo Vallejo
8A7
0x8adc…ceaf
事件損益
-$1.17
成交量
$234.76
持倉數
Adolfo Vallejo
MA8
manvsrice42
事件損益
+$0.50
成交量
$100.00
持倉數
Adolfo Vallejo

常見問題

目前市場對「Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 以 6,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5(5,800%),以及 Completed Match(5,200%)。該市場總成交量已達 $3.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易