Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka

$249 Vol
2026年11月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Jiri Lehecka 60.5%
Alex Michelsen 39.5%

核心摘要

根據「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $249,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,550%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka3900.0%$2493900¢-3800¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Jiri Lehecka.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alex Michelsen.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 31, 2026

  • 07:50 PM
    ——
    $9.30

    Sold 23.25 Alex Michelsen for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.4

  • 06:37 PM
    ——
    $1.86

    Sold 4.65 Alex Michelsen for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.4

  • 06:22 PM
    ——
    $3.72

    Sold 9.3 Alex Michelsen for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.4

  • 02:01 PM
    ——
    $80.56

    Bought 212 Alex Michelsen for Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka at 0.38

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

5C1
0x5c54…f1d2
事件損益
+$77.59
成交量
$705.34
持倉數
Jiri Lehecka
0B2
0x0b14…3ca3
事件損益
+$2.12
成交量
$212.00
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
383
38791873984189
事件損益
-$2.00
成交量
$200.00
持倉數
Jiri Lehecka
F94
0xf9da…2e2c
事件損益
-$8.95
成交量
$81.40
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
8F5
0x8f0d…7670
事件損益
-$7.77
成交量
$70.60
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
026
0x0297…8407
事件損益
-$5.81
成交量
$58.14
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
857
0x8564…09dc
事件損益
-$6.40
成交量
$58.14
持倉數
Alex Michelsen
1B8
0x1b59…3f88
事件損益
-$5.12
成交量
$46.51
持倉數
Alex Michelsen

常見問題

目前市場對「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $249,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易