
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,790% 获胜概率主导市场;Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 以 9,350% 位居第二,O/U 1.5 以 9,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $294.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,790%):O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,790¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $85 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 (9,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 保持着 9,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,350¢。
- O/U 1.5 (9,100%):以 9,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 1st Half O/U 0.5 (8,300%)、Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5 (7,850%),以及 O/U 2.5 (7,600%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Toronto FC O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9790.0% | $85 | 9790¢ | -9690¢ |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 | 9350.0% | — | 9350¢ | -9250¢ |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 9100.0% | $475 | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 8300.0% | $42 | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5 | 7850.0% | $349 | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 | 7600.0% | $421 | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 7 | Toronto FC O/U 0.5 | 6350.0% | $67 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 6050.0% | $1.0K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 9 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5700.0% | $413 | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union (-1.5) | 5550.0% | $116.1K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 11 | O/U 3.5 | 5500.0% | $102.8K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5 | 5500.0% | $888 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 13 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5300.0% | $203 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 15 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 16 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 17 | 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Philadelphia Union O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 36 | Philadelphia Union O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 37 | Toronto FC O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 38 | Toronto FC O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 39 | Toronto FC O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 40 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half (-2.5) | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 41 | Toronto FC 1st Half (-2.5) | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 42 | O/U 8.5 | 4945.0% | — | 4945¢ | -4845¢ |
| 43 | Philadelphia Union (-4.5) | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 44 | Philadelphia Union (-5.5) | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 45 | Toronto FC (-5.5) | 4880.0% | — | 4880¢ | -4780¢ |
| 46 | Toronto FC (-3.5) | 4815.0% | — | 4815¢ | -4715¢ |
| 47 | Philadelphia Union (-2.5) | 3600.0% | $62.2K | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 48 | O/U 7.5 | 3560.0% | $6 | 3560¢ | -3460¢ |
| 49 | Philadelphia Union O/U 3.5 | 3550.0% | $105 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 50 | O/U 4.5 | 3500.0% | $1.2K | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 51 | Toronto FC 1st Half (-1.5) | 3035.0% | — | 3035¢ | -2935¢ |
| 52 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half (-1.5) | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 53 | Toronto FC O/U 1.5 | 2700.0% | $230 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 2600.0% | $756 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 55 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 56 | Philadelphia Union (-3.5) | 1900.0% | $2.7K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 57 | O/U 5.5 | 1850.0% | $2.3K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 58 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 59 | O/U 6.5 | 900.0% | $781 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 60 | 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 61 | Toronto FC O/U 2.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 62 | Toronto FC (-4.5) | 740.0% | — | 740¢ | -640¢ |
| 63 | Toronto FC (-1.5) | 315.0% | $227 | 315¢ | -215¢ |
| 64 | Toronto FC (-2.5) | 210.0% | $748 | 210¢ | -110¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 7, 2026
- 09:49 AMCOColdMath$2.00
Bought 5 No for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.4
- 09:07 AMSDsdfjkshufkkshfk$5.00
Bought 6.849314 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.73
- 09:06 AMBObotmy$8.10
Bought 15 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54
- 09:06 AMLAladyboy20$2.40
Bought 5.106383 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.47
- 09:06 AMFOFOUNDER-CEO$1.00
Bought 1.851852 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54
- 09:06 AMDEderric-terrain$2.03
Bought 3.38 Yes for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.6
- 09:06 AM——$1.05
Bought 1.944445 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54
- 09:06 AMZTZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG$35.00
Bought 64.814815 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54
- 09:06 AM0X0xbc3c7806dbbc3265cf3bc79b024386171fb50777-1792266711397$9.90
Bought 18.333334 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.54
- 09:06 AMFLFlaznorp$12.97
Bought 21.616667 Yes for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.6
- 09:06 AMFLFlaznorp$29.97
Bought 111 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.27
- 09:06 AMNInigiri99$5.06
Bought 11 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.46
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 0.5 以 9,790% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5(9,350%),以及 O/U 1.5(9,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $294.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
