预测市场

实时 Polymarket 事件，附 AI 公允价值分析。

Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?

No IPO before January 2027 83.4%

$15B–$17.5B 4.6%

$20B+ 3.5%

<$7.5B 2.5%

$12.5B–$15B 2.1%

热门

Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?

成交量$30,014.3

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?

成交量$25,549.8

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?

成交量$11,399.4

Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?

成交量$5,325.4

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?

成交量$12,578.7

Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?

成交量$16,661.5

Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?

成交量$2,312.8

Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?

成交量$23,708.3

Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

成交量$26,340.4

Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?

成交量$7,372.4

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?

成交量$24,083.4

Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?

成交量$16,721.6

专业玩家押注

持续盈利交易者的共识押注

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 30?

专业玩家押注:No 98.5%

$5,575.5 成交量剩 12 小时20 位专业玩家

Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 99.6%

$338.7 成交量剩 7 天20 位专业玩家

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 99.9%

$735 成交量剩 4 天19 位专业玩家

Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 96.3%

$196 成交量剩 3 天19 位专业玩家

逆向押注

持续命中超额赢家的交易者的共识押注。

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?

逆向押注:Yes 1.9%

$1,619.5 成交量剩 2 天8 位逆向玩家

Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

逆向押注:Yes 10.8%

$713,365 成交量剩 275 天8 位逆向玩家

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?

逆向押注:No 38.2%

$15,831.7 成交量剩 36 天8 位逆向玩家

Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?

逆向押注:Yes 15.5%

$4,148.7 成交量剩 94 天8 位逆向玩家

近乎确定押注

48 小时内结算、收益有限的高概率机会。

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 30?

专业玩家押注:No 98.5%

$5,575.5 成交量剩 12 小时20 位专业玩家

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 97.1%

$16,012.9 成交量剩 2 天18 位专业玩家

Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 99%

$2,609.4 成交量剩 2 天17 位专业玩家

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

专业玩家押注:No 76%

$3,645.7 成交量剩 2 天16 位专业玩家

高风险高回报押注

看重风险回报而非命中率的交易者偏好的押注。

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

高风险高回报押注:No 24%

$3,645.7 成交量剩 2 天16 位高回报玩家

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

高风险高回报押注:No 26.4%

$5,316.7 成交量剩 3 天15 位高回报玩家

Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

高风险高回报押注:No 43.5%

$142,196.7 成交量剩 15 小时15 位高回报玩家

Spread: Turkmenistan (-2.5)

高风险高回报押注:No 61.3%

$2,908.6 成交量剩 3 天12 位高回报玩家

全部事件

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros - Player Props

Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 0.548%Yes

Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 1.549%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 21 小时

America.gov removed by October 31?

总成交量—

剩余剩 33 天

Urechean Vadim vs. Ghimp Fiodor

Urechean Vadim vs. Ghimp Fiodor50%Yes

Urechean Vadim vs. Ghimp Fiodor Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 9 天

Sirbu Veaceslav vs. Culaghin Dmitri

Sirbu Veaceslav vs. Culaghin Dmitri50%Yes

Sirbu Veaceslav vs. Culaghin Dmitri Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天

Vorsulyak Yaroslav vs. Konkulovskyi Roman

Vorsulyak Yaroslav vs. Konkulovskyi Roman35%Yes

Vorsulyak Yaroslav vs. Konkulovskyi Roman Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 9 天

Shypilov Anton vs. Mitla Oleksii

Shypilov Anton vs. Mitla Oleksii50%Yes

Shypilov Anton vs. Mitla Oleksii Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 9 天

Loboda Myroslav vs. Kaidakov Volodymyr

Loboda Myroslav vs. Kaidakov Volodymyr50%Yes

Loboda Myroslav vs. Kaidakov Volodymyr Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天

Chepurnyi Artem vs. Rubtsov Eduard

Chepurnyi Artem vs. Rubtsov Eduard50%Yes

Chepurnyi Artem vs. Rubtsov Eduard Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天

Ponomarenko Serhii vs. Kovalenko Veacheslav

Ponomarenko Serhii vs. Kovalenko Veacheslav50%Yes

Ponomarenko Serhii vs. Kovalenko Veacheslav Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天

Derevynskyi Dmytro vs. Abalmaz Spartak

Derevynskyi Dmytro vs. Abalmaz Spartak50%Yes

Derevynskyi Dmytro vs. Abalmaz Spartak Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天

Naida Oleksandr vs. Hnoievoi Roman

Naida Oleksandr vs. Hnoievoi Roman50%Yes

Naida Oleksandr vs. Hnoievoi Roman Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 9 天

Vlasenko Valerii vs. Kovalchuk Nazarii

Vlasenko Valerii vs. Kovalchuk Nazarii50%Yes

Vlasenko Valerii vs. Kovalchuk Nazarii Total Games O/U 3.550%Yes

总成交量—

剩余剩 8 天