预测市场

实时 Polymarket 事件，附 AI 公允价值分析。

culture

Will Jensen Huang rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?

Jensen Huang 79.5%

Lindsay Clancy 72.0%

Erling Haaland 59.0%

Bad Bunny 51.0%

Matt Damon 35.8%

热门

剩 49 天

Will Jensen Huang rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?

成交量$3,824.3

80%+57%

剩 3 天

Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

成交量$9,558.8

93%+47%

剩 2 天

Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?

成交量$7,002.6

4%-41%

剩 12 天

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October?

成交量$14,037

62%+39%

已结算

Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

成交量$64,247.4

59%+37%

剩 3 天

Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?

成交量$26,504.8

34%-32%

剩 47 天

Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?

成交量$102,972.3

49%+30%

剩 43 天

Will Beyoncé appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show?

成交量$4,891.4

2%-23%

剩 49 天

Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

成交量$23,675.8

50%-22%

剩 4 天

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

成交量$84,211.9

16%-22%

剩 49 天

Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?

成交量$135,487.8

23%-20%

剩 2 天

Will Philippines win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026?

成交量$4,715.7

55%+20%

专业玩家押注

持续盈利交易者的共识押注

Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 99.8%

$814 成交量剩 7 天20 位专业玩家

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 14?

专业玩家押注:No 97.2%

$1,164.2 成交量剩 9 小时19 位专业玩家

Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 98.4%

$150.6 成交量剩 4 天19 位专业玩家

Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

专业玩家押注:No 99.9%

$15,859.5 成交量剩 414 天18 位专业玩家

逆向押注

持续命中超额赢家的交易者的共识押注。

Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-09-12?

逆向押注:Yes 25.8%

$815.5 成交量剩 12 天13 位逆向玩家

Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-26?

逆向押注:Yes 18.1%

$386.6 成交量剩 11 天10 位逆向玩家

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

逆向押注:Yes 7.8%

$20,326.6 成交量剩 47 天9 位逆向玩家

Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?

逆向押注:Yes 23%

$404.6 成交量剩 20 小时8 位逆向玩家

近乎确定押注

48 小时内结算、收益有限的高概率机会。

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 14?

专业玩家押注:No 97.2%

$1,164.2 成交量剩 9 小时19 位专业玩家

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on November 14?

专业玩家押注:No 98.5%

$2,611.2 成交量剩 9 小时17 位专业玩家

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 14?

专业玩家押注:No 98.1%

$1,592.4 成交量剩 9 小时16 位专业玩家

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 14?

专业玩家押注:No 94.5%

$7,756.2 成交量剩 9 小时16 位专业玩家

高风险高回报押注

看重风险回报而非命中率的交易者偏好的押注。

Will FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win on 2026-09-12?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 25.8%

$815.5 成交量剩 12 天13 位高回报玩家

Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-26?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 18.1%

$386.6 成交量剩 11 天12 位高回报玩家

Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 23%

$404.6 成交量剩 20 小时11 位高回报玩家

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 14?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 33.5%

$3,497.1 成交量剩 9 小时8 位高回报玩家

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专业玩家押注

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近乎确定押注

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