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实时 Polymarket 事件，附 AI 公允价值分析。

politics

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Marjorie Taylor Greene 100.0%

Tucker Carlson 100.0%

Candace Owens 99.8%

Kaitlan Collins 99.7%

Barack Obama 96.5%

热门

已结算

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

成交量$37,265.5

94%+89%

剩 20 天

Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

成交量$6,004.8

86%+74%

Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary

成交量$31,415.1

100%+49%

已结算

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

成交量$50,911.7

59%+39%

剩 20 天

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

成交量$65,045.2

66%+38%

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

成交量$791,549.4

52%+38%

剩 2 天

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

成交量$275,661.5

95%+36%

剩 19 天

Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

成交量$2,778

34%+31%

剩 2 天

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

成交量$234,528

66%+29%

剩 8 天

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

成交量$28,025.1

49%+23%

剩 81 天

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

成交量$20,922.4

88%+18%

剩 18 天

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

成交量$14,935

89%+16%

专业玩家押注

持续盈利交易者的共识押注

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

专业玩家押注:No 97.7%

$82,118,309 成交量剩 20 天9 位专业玩家

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

专业玩家押注:No 98.9%

$16,137,924.5 成交量剩 861 天8 位专业玩家

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

专业玩家押注:No 99.3%

$17,302,297.3 成交量剩 861 天11 位专业玩家

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

专业玩家押注:Yes 6.2%

$17,841,114 成交量剩 861 天7 位专业玩家

逆向押注

持续命中超额赢家的交易者的共识押注。

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

逆向押注:No 99.9%

$89,251,597.8 成交量剩 20 天2 位逆向玩家

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

逆向押注:Yes 71.7%

$37,768,656.4 成交量剩 861 天5 位逆向玩家

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

逆向押注:Yes 73.7%

$31,886,582.3 成交量剩 861 天7 位逆向玩家

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

逆向押注:Yes 69.2%

$35,660,637.4 成交量剩 861 天6 位逆向玩家

近乎确定押注

48 小时内结算、收益有限的高概率机会。

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

专业玩家押注:No 95.9%

$869,760 成交量剩 21 小时12 位专业玩家

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

专业玩家押注:No 95.8%

$1,039,881 成交量剩 16 小时12 位专业玩家

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

专业玩家押注:No 94.4%

$775,032.2 成交量剩 2 天15 位专业玩家

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

专业玩家押注:No 98.4%

$21,984,058.4 成交量剩 2 天7 位专业玩家

高风险高回报押注

看重风险回报而非命中率的交易者偏好的押注。

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 16%

$81,381,336 成交量剩 20 天5 位高回报玩家

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 15%

$11,923,068.3 成交量剩 861 天2 位高回报玩家

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 67.7%

$17,302,297.3 成交量剩 861 天2 位高回报玩家

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

高风险高回报押注:Yes 11.1%

$4,819,270.7 成交量剩 861 天2 位高回报玩家

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Bitcoin above ___ on June 30, 4AM ET?

Ethereum above ___ on June 30, 4AM ET?

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

XRP Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Bitcoin above ___ on June 30, 3AM ET?

Ethereum above ___ on June 30, 3AM ET?

World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)

World Cup: Most Goal Contributions