Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

$604 Vol
2026年11月13日
Active
概率趋势
Xipto Esports 59.5%
angry birds 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 6,450% 获胜概率主导市场;Game 1 Winner 以 5,900% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $604,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (6,450%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $809 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Game 1 Winner (5,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,Game 1 Winner 保持着 5,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,900¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ends in Daytime 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner6450.0%$8096450¢-6350¢
2Game 1 Winner5900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
3Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Game Handicap: XE (-1.5) vs angry birds (+1.5)4950.0%$394950¢-4850¢
19Game 2 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$54850¢-4750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xipto Esports and angry birds in the Asgard Championship Group A, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against angry birds.

This market will resolve to "angry birds" if angry birds win the match against Xipto Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 11:02 AM
    KOkosma0
    $7.38

    Bought 11.904762 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.62

  • 09:03 AM
    NAnasirovrao1
    $14.46

    Bought 34.428572 angry birds for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.42

  • 12:57 AM
    ACacw9111
    $6.35

    Bought 15.119048 angry birds for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.42

Nov 6, 2026

  • 11:53 PM
    ZEZeus-KDM
    $19.52

    Bought 46.48 angry birds for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.42

  • 11:10 PM
    PPppaappaa
    $21.77

    Bought 36.28 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.6

  • 11:09 PM
    GTgt7238
    $96.00

    Bought 160 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.6

  • 11:09 PM
    GTgt7238
    $22.80

    Bought 38.64 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.59

  • 10:59 PM
    NENevermoreVoid
    $10.05

    Bought 22.84091 angry birds for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.44

  • 10:57 PM
    PPppaappaa
    $30.44

    Bought 51.6 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.59

  • 10:25 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $6.94

    Bought 11.762712 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.59

  • 10:25 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $10.61

    Bought 17.983051 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.59

  • 09:27 PM
    JSjsemdonya
    $5.70

    Bought 9.83 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A at 0.58

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

GT1
gt7238
事件盈亏
+$3.37
成交量
$198.64
持仓数
Xipto Esports
382
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$6.56
成交量
$149.46
持仓数
angry birds
XE3
xerrenvs
事件盈亏
-$2.50
成交量
$99.99
持仓数
angry birds
PP4
ppaappaa
事件盈亏
+$1.83
成交量
$87.88
持仓数
Xipto Esports
B85
0xB8B9…4308
事件盈亏
+$2.54
成交量
$62.44
持仓数
Xipto Esports
GA6
Gall1048596
事件盈亏
+$0.03
成交量
$54.04
持仓数
angry birds
NA7
nasirovrao1
事件盈亏
-$0.69
成交量
$34.43
持仓数
angry birds
BF8
0xbfD7…7ff0
事件盈亏
+$0.69
成交量
$34.43
持仓数
Xipto Esports

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 6,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Game 1 Winner(5,900%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $604,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易