Sam Houston vs. Liberty

$129.8K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
概率趋势
Liberty 82.5%
Sam Houston 17.5%

核心摘要

根据「Sam Houston vs. Liberty」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1H Spread -7.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,355% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,280% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $129.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1H Spread -7.5 (9,995%):1H Spread -7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $13.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,355%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,355% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,355¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,280%):以 9,280% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,050%)、Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 (9,050%),以及 1H Spread -6.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1H Spread -8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11H Spread -7.59995.0%$13.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59355.0%—9355¢-9255¢
3Spread -2.59280.0%$1309280¢-9180¢
4Spread -3.59050.0%$49050¢-8950¢
5Both Teams to Score Points - Q29050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
61H Spread -6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
71H Spread -8.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
81H Spread -9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
92Q Spread -0.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
102Q Spread -2.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
112Q Spread -3.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
121H Spread -4.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
13Spread -4.58850.0%$108850¢-8750¢
14Spread -5.58600.0%$2318600¢-8500¢
15Spread -6.58450.0%$88450¢-8350¢
16Spread -7.58000.0%$278000¢-7900¢
17Liberty O/U 23.57700.0%$6097700¢-7600¢
18Spread -10.57350.0%$7187350¢-7250¢
19Spread -8.57200.0%$247200¢-7100¢
20O/U 35.56950.0%$226950¢-6850¢
21O/U 37.56350.0%$2196350¢-6250¢
22Spread -13.56200.0%$29.2K6200¢-6100¢
23Spread -14.55650.0%$8.0K5650¢-5550¢
24Spread -16.55350.0%$2.6K5350¢-5250¢
25O/U 39.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
26Spread -17.55050.0%$4195050¢-4950¢
27Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 71.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
343Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
353Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
363Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
373Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
383Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
394Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
404Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
414Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
424Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Sam Houston O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Sam Houston O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Sam Houston O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Liberty O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Liberty O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Liberty O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Liberty O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Sam Houston 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Sam Houston 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Sam Houston 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Liberty 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Liberty 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Liberty 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Sam Houston vs. Liberty: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Sam Houston O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Liberty O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1323Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1343Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1353Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1363Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1373Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1414Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1424Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1434Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Spread -20.54950.0%$4.6K4950¢-4850¢
145Spread -17.54950.0%$4194950¢-4850¢
146Spread -16.54950.0%$2.6K4950¢-4850¢
147Spread -14.54950.0%$8.0K4950¢-4850¢
148Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
149O/U 69.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
150O/U 75.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
151Spread -8.54915.0%$244915¢-4815¢
152O/U 41.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
153O/U 43.54100.0%$8364100¢-4000¢
154O/U 45.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
155Spread -20.53750.0%$4.6K3750¢-3650¢
156O/U 47.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
157O/U 57.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
158O/U 59.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
159O/U 63.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
160O/U 65.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
161O/U 49.52100.0%$2.2K2100¢-2000¢
162O/U 51.51600.0%$2.1K1600¢-1500¢
163O/U 53.51200.0%$13.6K1200¢-1100¢
164Sam Houston O/U 20.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
1651H O/U 21.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1661H O/U 24.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1671H O/U 30.5950.0%$249950¢-850¢
1681H O/U 33.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1692Q O/U 10.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1702Q O/U 13.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1712Q O/U 16.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1722Q O/U 19.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
173Sam Houston 1H O/U 11.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
174Sam Houston 1H O/U 13.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
175Sam Houston 1H O/U 15.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
176Liberty 1H O/U 14.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
177Liberty 1H O/U 16.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1781H Moneyline950.0%$10950¢-850¢
1792Q Moneyline950.0%—950¢-850¢
1801H Spread -11.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1812Q Spread -4.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1822Q Spread -5.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1832Q Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
184O/U 55.5800.0%$1800¢-700¢
185Sam Houston O/U 23.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
186Sam Houston vs. Liberty475.0%$46.5K475¢-375¢
187Spread -1.5455.0%—455¢-355¢
188Spread -2.5390.0%$130390¢-290¢
189O/U 61.5375.0%$214375¢-275¢
190Spread -4.5285.0%$10285¢-185¢
191Spread -3.5275.0%$4275¢-175¢
192Spread -5.5225.0%$231225¢-125¢
193O/U 67.5165.0%$67165¢-65¢
194Spread -6.5135.0%$8135¢-35¢
195Spread -7.585.0%$2785¢15¢
196Spread -13.570.0%$29.2K70¢30¢
197Spread -10.570.0%$71870¢30¢
198O/U 73.565.0%—65¢35¢
1991H O/U 27.55.0%$2.7K5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Sam Houston and Liberty, scheduled for October 8 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game.

This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 12:38 AM
    SOsolomillo
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-4.5) at 1

  • 12:38 AM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-4.5) at 1

  • 12:38 AM
    SOsolomillo
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-4.5) at 1

Oct 8, 2026

  • 11:03 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $12.00

    Bought 25 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.48

  • 11:02 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $12.00

    Bought 25 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.48

  • 10:58 PM
    USuser0000000
    $26.00

    Bought 50 Sam Houston for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.52

  • 10:56 PM
    NInigiri99
    $201.39

    Bought 411 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.49

  • 10:51 PM
    USuser0000000
    $17.40

    Bought 34.11 Liberty for 1Q Spread: Liberty (-3.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.80

    Bought 20 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.49

  • 10:50 PM
    USuser0000000
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Liberty for 1Q Spread: Liberty (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 10:50 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.80

    Bought 20 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.49

  • 10:50 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.80

    Bought 20 Liberty for 1H Spread: Liberty (-7.5) at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PE1
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件盈亏
-$2,332.50
成交量
$15,120.92
持仓数
Sam Houston
LI2
LightParadox
事件盈亏
-$962.74
成交量
$11,500.00
持仓数
Sam HoustonUnderSam Houston
DI3
Dingwin
事件盈亏
+$1,260.26
成交量
$11,436.13
持仓数
LibertyOverOver
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$456.95
成交量
$11,424.06
持仓数
Under
PR5
primm
事件盈亏
-$681.23
成交量
$10,806.53
持仓数
Sam HoustonSam HoustonSam Houston
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$54.40
成交量
$10,181.07
持仓数
LibertyLibertyOver
HE7
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$850.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Liberty
FO8
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
-$517.58
成交量
$7,267.00
持仓数
Sam HoustonSam HoustonOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Sam Houston vs. Liberty」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1H Spread -7.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,355%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,280%)。该市场总成交量已达 $129.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始