Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

根据「Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Lisa Beare 以压倒性的 3,050% 获胜概率主导市场；Doug Morneau 以 1,800% 位居第二，Jordan Simmons 以 1,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Lisa Beare (3,050%)：Lisa Beare 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 3,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Doug Morneau (1,800%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Doug Morneau 保持着 1,800% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,800¢。
• Jordan Simmons (1,750%)：以 1,750% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Jordan Simmons 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

• 替代选项：包括 Susan Einarsson (1,700%)。
• 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Susan Einarsson 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).