Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame

$131.5K Vol
2026年11月8日
Active
概率趋势
Notre Dame 71.5%
Miami (FL) 28.5%

核心摘要

根据「Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 38.5 以压倒性的 8,500% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 42.5 以 8,100% 位居第二，O/U 36.5 以 8,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $131.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 38.5 (8,500%)：O/U 38.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,500¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 42.5 (8,100%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 42.5 保持着 8,100% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,100¢。
  • O/U 36.5 (8,050%)：以 8,050% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 36.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 40.5 (7,650%)、O/U 44.5 (7,500%)，以及 O/U 34.5 (7,400%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 38.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
2O/U 42.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
3O/U 36.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
4O/U 40.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
5O/U 44.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
6O/U 34.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
7Spread -0.57100.0%$4.2K7100¢-7000¢
8Spread -1.57050.0%$1817050¢-6950¢
9O/U 46.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
10Spread -2.57000.0%$2.9K7000¢-6900¢
111Q O/U 7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
12Notre Dame 1H O/U 12.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
13Notre Dame O/U 23.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
141Q Moneyline6500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
15O/U 48.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
161H Spread -0.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
17O/U 50.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
18Spread -3.56100.0%$4496100¢-6000¢
191H Spread -1.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
20Miami (FL) O/U 19.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
211H Spread -2.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
22Spread -4.55900.0%$10005900¢-5800¢
23Miami (FL) 1H O/U 10.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
24Spread -5.55750.0%$23.5K5750¢-5650¢
25Spread -6.55550.0%$23.0K5550¢-5450¢
261H Spread -3.55550.0%$3.2K5550¢-5450¢
27O/U 52.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
283Q O/U 7.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
292Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
301Q Spread -0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
31Notre Dame 1H O/U 14.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
323Q O/U 10.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
331H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
341H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
352H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
362H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
372H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
382H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Notre Dame O/U 26.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Notre Dame O/U 35.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
47Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
48Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
58Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
59Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
60Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67O/U 54.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
681H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
691H O/U 27.55000.0%$7835000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
762H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
771Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
781Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
791Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
801Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
811Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
832Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
842Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
852Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
862Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
872Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
882Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
892Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
902Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
912Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
922Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
933Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
943Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
953Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
963Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
973Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
994Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1004Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1024Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1034Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1044Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1054Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1064Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1074Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1084Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Notre Dame O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Miami (FL) 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
152Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1573Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1584Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1594Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161Miami (FL) O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1633Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1644Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165Notre Dame O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
166Notre Dame O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
167Miami (FL) O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1681H O/U 33.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1693Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1703Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
171Miami (FL) O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
172Miami (FL) O/U 25.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
173Game Goes to Overtime4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
174Spread -7.54850.0%$13.1K4850¢-4750¢
1751H Spread -5.54850.0%$1.2K4850¢-4750¢
176Notre Dame O/U 32.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
177Miami (FL) O/U 31.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
178Miami (FL) O/U 28.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1791H Spread -4.54750.0%$194750¢-4650¢
1801Q O/U 10.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
181Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
182Notre Dame 1H O/U 16.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
183Spread -8.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
184Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
185Spread -9.54500.0%$124500¢-4400¢
1863Q O/U 13.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
187O/U 56.54400.0%$1.5K4400¢-4300¢
188Spread -10.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
189O/U 60.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
190O/U 58.53850.0%$6003850¢-3750¢
191Spread -11.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
192Spread -12.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1931H Moneyline3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
194O/U 62.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1951H O/U 30.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
196Spread -14.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1971Q O/U 13.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1981Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1991Q O/U 19.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
200O/U 64.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
201Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame2850.0%$51.9K2850¢-2750¢
202Spread -0.52850.0%$4.2K2850¢-2750¢
2033Q Spread -1.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
2041H Spread -7.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
205Spread -1.52650.0%$1812650¢-2550¢
206Spread -2.52500.0%$2.9K2500¢-2400¢
207O/U 66.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
208Spread -18.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
209Spread -17.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
210Spread -3.52150.0%$4492150¢-2050¢
211Spread -20.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
212O/U 68.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
213O/U 70.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
214Spread -4.51950.0%$10001950¢-1850¢
215O/U 72.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
216Spread -6.51750.0%$23.0K1750¢-1650¢
217Spread -24.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
218Spread -21.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
219O/U 74.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
220Spread -9.51050.0%$121050¢-950¢
221Spread -12.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
222Spread -10.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
223Spread -13.5900.0%$7900¢-800¢
224Spread -16.5555.0%$10555¢-455¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, scheduled for November 7 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game.

This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 6, 2026

  • 10:42 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.73

    Bought 11 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5) at 0.43

  • 09:20 PM
    KEKennyLive
    $2.00

    Bought 3.846154 Miami (FL) for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 09:20 PM
    ——
    $17.64

    Bought 36 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 09:04 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.55

    Bought 19 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) at 0.45

  • 08:33 PM
    656512395314597884
    $3.79

    Bought 15.81 Miami (FL) for Spread: Miami (FL) (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $11.00

    Bought 21.153847 Miami (FL) for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 08:31 PM
    0X0x941809833D47890E2383a0abf5277FACff28e9F8-1781957605159
    $5.39

    Bought 19.24 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-0.5) at 0.28

  • 08:31 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $1.50

    Bought 5.357143 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-0.5) at 0.28

  • 08:30 PM
    656512395314597884
    $3.89

    Bought 13.89 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-2.5) at 0.28

  • 08:30 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $710.00

    Sold 1000 Notre Dame for Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame at 0.71

  • 08:30 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $1,420.00

    Sold 2000 Notre Dame for Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame at 0.71

  • 08:30 PM
    656512395314597884
    $22.88

    Bought 84.74 Miami (FL) for Spread: Notre Dame (-2.5) at 0.27

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BA1
bands1
事件盈亏
+$3.68
成交量
$22,712.00
持仓数
Notre Dame
KC2
kc35831562
事件盈亏
-$109.88
成交量
$21,976.00
持仓数
Miami (FL)
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$407.27
成交量
$21,082.87
持仓数
Miami (FL)Notre DameMiami (FL)+4
414
0x418D…7961
事件盈亏
+$1,100.20
成交量
$19,999.80
持仓数
Notre Dame
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$325.72
成交量
$18,771.00
持仓数
Miami (FL)Miami (FL)Miami (FL)+7
B46
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
+$603.56
成交量
$15,321.49
持仓数
Notre Dame
PE7
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件盈亏
+$55.38
成交量
$11,064.87
持仓数
Notre Dame
658
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$389.19
成交量
$10,209.10
持仓数
Miami (FL)Miami (FL)Miami (FL)

常见问题

当前市场对「Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 38.5 以 8,500% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 42.5（8,100%），以及 O/U 36.5（8,050%）。该市场总成交量已达 $131.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易