Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh

$144.6K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Clement Chidekh 100.0%
Marcos Giron 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $144.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $280 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 Winner (5%)、Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%),以及 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%$2809995¢-9895¢
2Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh5.0%$143.5K5¢95¢
4Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 Winner5.0%—5¢95¢
5Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$25¢95¢
6Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
7Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
8Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
9Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Match O/U 21.55.0%—5¢95¢
10Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Match O/U 22.55.0%—5¢95¢
11Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Match O/U 23.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Clement Chidekh in the Charlottesville, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Clement Chidekh.

This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Marcos Giron.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 6, 2026

  • 12:55 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $8.40

    Bought 120 No for Charlottesville: Completed Match: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.07

  • 12:02 PM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 13.157895 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.38

  • 12:00 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631579 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.38

  • 05:51 AM
    FUfullwillm
    $5.00

    Bought 13.157895 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.38

  • 05:31 AM
    HAhardtrance9
    $10.00

    Bought 26.31579 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.38

Nov 5, 2026

  • 09:53 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $0.80

    Sold 20 No for Charlottesville: Completed Match: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.04

  • 09:50 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $18.00

    Bought 20 No for Charlottesville: Completed Match: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.9

  • 08:45 PM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $100.00

    Bought 263.157895 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.38

  • 07:05 PM
    HHhhhizli
    $36.66

    Bought 94 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.39

  • 06:50 PM
    HHhhhizli
    $2.64

    Bought 6.77 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.39

  • 06:35 PM
    HHhhhizli
    $32.69

    Bought 83.82 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.39

  • 06:26 PM
    TJtjab0n
    $2.22

    Bought 6 Marcos Giron for Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh at 0.37

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

F11
0xf12f…3239
事件盈亏
-$3,482.62
成交量
$10,715.78
持仓数
Marcos Giron
CA2
CandleHammerDrums
事件盈亏
+$1,568.25
成交量
$5,842.95
持仓数
Clement Chidekh
LI3
Limousin
事件盈亏
-$2,268.39
成交量
$5,007.17
持仓数
Marcos Giron
654
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
+$3,412.82
成交量
$4,877.04
持仓数
Clement Chidekh
KE5
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$1,882.54
成交量
$4,510.44
持仓数
Marcos Giron
AF6
0xafef…6376
事件盈亏
+$1,419.97
成交量
$4,507.84
持仓数
Clement Chidekh
VE7
Venusian
事件盈亏
+$1,383.46
成交量
$3,116.28
持仓数
Clement Chidekh
TR8
tradecraft
事件盈亏
+$866.38
成交量
$2,803.08
持仓数
Clement Chidekh

常见问题

当前市场对「Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh Set Handicap +/-1.5(9,995%),以及 Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $144.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易