Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München

$108.4K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 96.0%
Yes 4.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, FC Bayern München is dominating the market with an overwhelming 89.5% chance of winning. Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) follows in second place at 6.5%, while Viking FK sits in third with 3.9%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $108.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • FC Bayern München (89.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, FC Bayern München is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 90¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $20.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) (6.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) maintains a 6.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7¢.
  • Viking FK (3.9%): Sitting in third place with a 3.9% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Viking FK, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1FC Bayern München89.5%$20.7K90¢11¢
2Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München)6.5%$3.4K7¢94¢
3Viking FK3.9%$84.3K4¢96¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 between Viking FK and FC Bayern München.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 6.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 13.3% — yielding an impressive +6.8% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Viking FK (EV Gap: +2.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
FC Bayern München89.5%89.5%+0.0%
Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München)Best EV6.5%13.3%+6.8%
Viking FK3.9%6.3%+2.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 09:25 PM
    CCcccfg
    $1.00

    Bought 25 Yes for Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? at 0.04

  • 09:25 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $5.17

    Bought 5.808981 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 09:25 PM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.80

    Bought 5 No for Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? at 0.96

  • 09:25 PM
    CBCbs710
    $27,061.26

    Bought 27898.205696 No for Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? at 0.97

  • 09:25 PM
    CBCbs710
    $38,987.37

    Bought 40611.84 No for Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? at 0.96

  • 09:06 PM
    JOjoosdigu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 09:04 PM
    LULukwago42
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0xdc91b5078E5251cf6036204Df778260B520D493f-1789516931556
    $4.45

    Bought 5 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 09:02 PM
    0X0xdc91b5078E5251cf6036204Df778260B520D493f-1789516931556
    $4.45

    Bought 5 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 09:01 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $8.26

    Bought 9.28089 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 08:51 PM
    0X0x6b090eC23Be9d4E60801F33aCa8A72D41ba3CE3c-1776824508391
    $10.00

    Bought 11.235954 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

  • 08:27 PM
    ADadsosa91
    $10.00

    Bought 11.235954 Yes for Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? at 0.89

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CB1
Cbs710
Event PnL
-$196.04
Volume
$68,510.05
Positions
No
992
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$131.73
Volume
$33,832.91
Positions
YesNo
CA3
Cannae
Event PnL
+$0.13
Volume
$12,224.66
Positions
YesYes
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$45.69
Volume
$9,046.80
Positions
Yes
FL5
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$19.61
Volume
$7,006.32
Positions
NoYesYes
YO6
yoyoyoyoer
Event PnL
+$6.25
Volume
$5,294.22
Positions
No
SB7
sbsigner
Event PnL
+$54.45
Volume
$5,204.37
Positions
NoNo
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$71.89
Volume
$4,792.17
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München"?

As of the latest update, FC Bayern München leads the field as the frontrunner with a 89.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) at 6.5% and Viking FK at 3.9%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $108.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Draw (Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 6.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 13.3% — an Expected Value gap of +6.8%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Viking FK holds a positive EV Gap of +2.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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