Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

$2 Vol
Oct 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Max Alcala Gurri 74.0%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 26.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,650%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 Winner (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 Winner maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • Completed Match (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%), and Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Game Spread +/-4.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez7400.0%$27400¢-7300¢
2Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 Winner6650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
3Completed Match5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
4Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Game Spread +/-4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Match O/U 21.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
14Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Match O/U 23.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
15Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Match O/U 22.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
16Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Total Sets: O/U 2.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez.

This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Max Alcala Gurri.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez"?

As of the latest update, Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by Maia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Set 1 Winner at 6,650% and Completed Match at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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