Capitals vs. Senators

$185.2K Vol
Nov 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Senators 50.5%
Capitals 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Capitals vs. Senators”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,705% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 8,850%, while Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 sits in third with 7,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $185.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 (9,705%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,705¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 (8,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 maintains a 8,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,850¢.
  • Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 (7,950%): Sitting in third place with a 7,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 (5,950%), Capitals vs. Senators (4,950%), and Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 (4,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.59705.0%—9705¢-9605¢
2O/U 3.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
3Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.57950.0%$17950¢-7850¢
4Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.55950.0%$1.3K5950¢-5850¢
5Capitals vs. Senators4950.0%$146.4K4950¢-4850¢
6Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.54850.0%$12.0K4850¢-4750¢
7Spread -1.52950.0%$2.9K2950¢-2850¢
8Spread -1.52850.0%$2.9K2850¢-2750¢
9Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 7.52700.0%$1282700¢-2600¢
10O/U 8.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
11Spread -2.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
12Spread -2.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
13O/U 9.5850.0%$10850¢-750¢
14Spread -3.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
15Spread -3.5750.0%—750¢-650¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 10 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals".

If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 10, 2026

  • 09:02 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $10.47

    Bought 19.036364 Senators for Capitals vs. Senators at 0.55

  • 09:00 AM
    SBsbsev
    $82.50

    Bought 150 Senators for Capitals vs. Senators at 0.55

  • 08:23 AM
    QWqwerry
    $602.16

    Sold 1158 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 at 0.52

  • 08:19 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.26

    Bought 31 Capitals for Capitals vs. Senators at 0.46

  • 08:15 AM
    PRprimoS
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 at 0.53

  • 08:15 AM
    ——
    $1,340.73

    Bought 2793.1875 Over for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 07:46 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $26.66

    Bought 62 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 07:30 AM
    SEsetls
    $2.17

    Bought 5.046512 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 07:30 AM
    0X0x17C6b52e242c5D0921A7480Cbd4c0C42DE8E3681-1794056531372
    $3.43

    Bought 7.976745 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 07:30 AM
    ——
    $1.33

    Bought 3.093024 Under for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 07:30 AM
    0X0x01C968789A70ABd45c1Ee2B9dac3816046394386-1759572409278
    $290.00

    Bought 500 Over for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.58

  • 07:22 AM
    0X0x01C968789A70ABd45c1Ee2B9dac3816046394386-1759572409278
    $50.16

    Bought 88 Over for Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
+$126.16
Volume
$25,227.16
Positions
CapitalsCapitals
HI2
hi774c
Event PnL
-$59.58
Volume
$11,916.08
Positions
Senators
0A3
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
-$58.06
Volume
$11,612.00
Positions
Senators
RO4
royalestake
Event PnL
+$4.18
Volume
$5,499.99
Positions
Over
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$17.77
Volume
$3,689.00
Positions
UnderUnderCapitals+1
RO6
roldy
Event PnL
+$3.64
Volume
$2,983.92
Positions
Senators
F77
0xf725…ec33
Event PnL
-$13.97
Volume
$2,793.19
Positions
Over
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
-$6.74
Volume
$2,474.57
Positions
UnderSenators

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Capitals vs. Senators"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,705% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 at 8,850% and Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 at 7,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $185.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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