W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Polina Kuharenko vs Natalia Sousa Salazar

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Nov 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Polina Kuharenko vs Natalia Sousa Salazar”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Polina Kuharenko is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Natalia Sousa Salazar follows in second place at 850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Polina Kuharenko (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Polina Kuharenko is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Natalia Sousa Salazar (850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Natalia Sousa Salazar maintains a 850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 850¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Polina Kuharenko9150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
2Natalia Sousa Salazar850.0%—850¢-750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kuharenko and Natalia Sousa Salazar in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Polina Kuharenko' if Polina Kuharenko advances against Natalia Sousa Salazar.

This market will resolve to 'Natalia Sousa Salazar' if Natalia Sousa Salazar advances against Polina Kuharenko.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Polina Kuharenko vs Natalia Sousa Salazar"?

As of the latest update, Polina Kuharenko leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Natalia Sousa Salazar at 850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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