W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Marfa Mylnikova vs Alexandra Chapurina

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Nov 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Marfa Mylnikova vs Alexandra Chapurina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Marfa Mylnikova is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. Alexandra Chapurina follows in second place at 2,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Marfa Mylnikova (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Marfa Mylnikova is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Alexandra Chapurina (2,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Alexandra Chapurina maintains a 2,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,900¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Marfa Mylnikova7100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2Alexandra Chapurina2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marfa Mylnikova and Alexandra Chapurina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marfa Mylnikova' if Marfa Mylnikova advances against Alexandra Chapurina.

This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Chapurina' if Alexandra Chapurina advances against Marfa Mylnikova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Marfa Mylnikova vs Alexandra Chapurina"?

As of the latest update, Marfa Mylnikova leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by Alexandra Chapurina at 2,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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