Colts vs. Commanders - First Touchdown Scorer

—
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 51.5%
Yes 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Colts vs. Commanders - First Touchdown Scorer”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Austin Ekeler is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. Stefon Diggs follows in second place at 4,950%, while Nick Westbrook-Ikhine sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Austin Ekeler (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Austin Ekeler is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Stefon Diggs (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Stefon Diggs maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Antonio Williams (4,900%), Ben Sinnott (4,900%), and Colson Yankoff (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Dyami Brown are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Austin Ekeler4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
2Stefon Diggs4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
3Nick Westbrook-Ikhine4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
4Antonio Williams4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
5Ben Sinnott4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Colson Yankoff4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Dyami Brown4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Jacory Croskey-Merritt4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Jaylin Lane4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10John Bates4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Luke McCaffrey4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Rachaad White4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Terry McLaurin4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Daniel Jones4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Darius Slayton4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Deion Burks4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
17DJ Giddens4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
18Drew Ogletree4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
19Josh Downs4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
20Keenan Allen4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
21Laquon Treadwell4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
22Mo Alie-Cox4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
23Seth McGowan4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
24Kaytron Allen4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
25Anthony Gould4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
26Jonathan Taylor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
27Tyler Warren4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
28Treylon Burks4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢

Result Rules

First Touchdown Scorer markets for Colts vs. Commanders.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Colts vs. Commanders - First Touchdown Scorer"?

As of the latest update, Austin Ekeler leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,950% win probability, followed by Stefon Diggs at 4,950% and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started