LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

$154.1K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
SU Esports 51.5%
The Secret Club Esport 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Player Quadra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,200% chance of winning. Any Player Penta Kill follows in second place at 5,200%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $154.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Quadra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Penta Kill maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Player Quadra Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
2Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Game 1 Winner4850.0%$14.2K4850¢-4750¢
19Game 2 Winner4850.0%$14.3K4850¢-4750¢
20Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)4600.0%$37.7K4600¢-4500¢
21Match Winner4550.0%$72.5K4550¢-4450¢
22O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$15.5K4550¢-4450¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills4000.0%—4000¢-3900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between The Secret Club Esport and SU Esports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "The Secret Club Esport" if The Secret Club Esport win the match against SU Esports.

This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against The Secret Club Esport.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 01:12 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.28

    Bought 4.266667 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.3

  • 01:05 PM
    VLVladixxk
    $30.00

    Bought 200 The Secret Club Esport for LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.15

  • 01:02 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.3

  • 01:02 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $1.00

    Bought 5 The Secret Club Esport for LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.2

  • 01:02 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $49.44

    Bought 164.788485 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.3

  • 01:02 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $1.05

    Bought 5 The Secret Club Esport for LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 01:01 PM
    AMam100
    $123.17

    Bought 173.48 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 01:00 PM
    FUfunfacts
    $8.88

    Bought 13.25373 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 01:00 PM
    A2a2dw
    $4.02

    Bought 6.090908 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.66

  • 01:00 PM
    868668320355
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 01:00 PM
    FUfunfacts
    $4.44

    Bought 6.529412 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.68

  • 01:00 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $121.55

    Bought 368.330435 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HE1
heyimheejin
Event PnL
-$1.83
Volume
$103.56
Positions
SU Esports
TO2
topdogbigboi
Event PnL
+$0.67
Volume
$41.75
Positions
The Secret Club Esport
F03
0xF066…4543
Event PnL
+$0.56
Volume
$28.00
Positions
The Secret Club Esport
TR4
tradegoose
Event PnL
+$0.20
Volume
$20.00
Positions
The Secret Club Esport
AI5
AIluka
Event PnL
-$2.13
Volume
$14.00
Positions
The Secret Club EsportSU Esports
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$0.35
Volume
$10.00
Positions
The Secret Club Esport
627
0x62e8…88a1
Event PnL
+$3.33
Volume
$9.00
Positions
SU Esports
FO8
forgedinlol
Event PnL
-$1.20
Volume
$5.00
Positions
The Secret Club Esport

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage"?

As of the latest update, Any Player Quadra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,200% win probability, followed by Any Player Penta Kill at 5,200% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $154.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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