Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

$82.6K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Falcons 76.5%
NIP 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,650% chance of winning. Map 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,100%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 6,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $82.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $82.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Winner (7,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Winner maintains a 7,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,100¢.
  • Map 2 Winner (6,650%): Sitting in third place with a 6,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (4,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7650.0%$82.4K7650¢-7550¢
2Map 1 Winner7100.0%$347100¢-7000¢
3Map 2 Winner6650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
4O/U 2.5 Games4100.0%$1414100¢-4000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against NIP.

This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Team Falcons.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 12:02 PM
    POPoScopeAnalyze
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.8

  • 11:59 AM
    SASatanishippie
    $67.78

    Bought 85.79575 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.79

  • 11:59 AM
    SASatanishippie
    $49,645.81

    Bought 62057.263625 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.8

  • 11:59 AM
    0X0xf3CCd80c7f979bEc805Ce6b935326e43D5ECe049-1768986291931
    $10.00

    Bought 43.478261 NIP for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.23

  • 10:50 AM
    PPppaappaa
    $231.98

    Bought 297.41 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.78

  • 09:51 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $16.96

    Bought 21.468352 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.79

  • 09:22 AM
    ——
    $5.87

    Bought 7.43038 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.79

  • 09:22 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347827 NIP for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.23

  • 08:59 AM
    PPppaappaa
    $77.91

    Bought 99.88 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.78

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.52

    Bought 12.205127 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.78

  • 08:06 AM
    SMSmoody
    $5.00

    Bought 6.410254 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.78

  • 07:45 AM
    MTmtp909
    $20.54

    Bought 26.333331 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Satanishippie
Event PnL
-$2,020.70
Volume
$62,143.06
Positions
Team Falcons
LL2
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$1,690.21
Volume
$48,395.39
Positions
NIP
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$47.34
Volume
$10,378.91
Positions
NIP
MO4
monkeyfish69
Event PnL
+$250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
NIP
TR5
TrippleEX
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.98
Positions
Team Falcons
RE6
Reformedx
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
NIP
GO7
GOODFOODPOGGIES
Event PnL
+$2.49
Volume
$1,120.71
Positions
NIP
FD8
0xFd96…8476
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$999.97
Positions
Team Falcons

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,650% win probability, followed by Map 1 Winner at 7,100% and Map 2 Winner at 6,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $82.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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