Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo

$150 Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Coleman Wong 58.5%
Adolfo Vallejo 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner sits in third with 0%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $150, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $150 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner (0%): Sitting in third place with a 0% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 Winner (0%), Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (0%), and Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (0%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo6500.0%$1506500¢-6400¢
2Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
4Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
5Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Total Sets: O/U 2.50.0%—0¢100¢
6Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
7Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
8Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
9Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
10Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
11Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
12Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 21.50.0%—0¢100¢
13Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 22.50.0%—0¢100¢
14Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 23.50.0%—0¢100¢
15Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set Handicap +/-1.50.0%—0¢100¢
16Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Game Spread +/-2.50.0%—0¢100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Adolfo Vallejo in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Adolfo Vallejo.

This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Coleman Wong.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo"?

As of the latest update, Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner at 0%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $150, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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