Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz

$30 Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hubert Hurkacz 69.5%
Martin Damm 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $30, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 (4,950%), Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,950%), and Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
3Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
4Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
5Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
13Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
14Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner3650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
15Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz3050.0%—3050¢-2950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Martin Damm.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 at 5,000% and Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $30, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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