Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

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Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 59.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 41.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina follows in second place at 4,100%, while Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner sits in third with 0%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (4,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina maintains a 4,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,100¢.
  • Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner (0%): Sitting in third place with a 0% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner (0%), Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (0%), and Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (0%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
3Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
4Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner0.0%—0¢100¢
5Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.50.0%—0¢100¢
6Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
7Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
8Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
9Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.50.0%—0¢100¢
10Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.50.0%—0¢100¢
11Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.50.0%—0¢100¢
12Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.50.0%—0¢100¢
13Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.50.0%—0¢100¢
14Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.50.0%—0¢100¢
15Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.50.0%—0¢100¢
16Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.50.0%—0¢100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 4,100% and Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner at 0%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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