Spotify Technology SA

Spotify Technology SA(SPOT)の株式分析

$583.660

+64.786 (+11.10%)終値時点

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高値
588.880
始値
561.290
出来高加重平均価格
575.95
出来高
4.74M
時価総額
62.78B
安値
555.320
売買代金
2.73B
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
36.15

Spotify Technology SA a Luxembourg-based company, which offers digital music-streaming services. The Company enables users to discover new releases, which includes the latest singles and albums; playlists, which includes ready-made playlists put together by music fans and experts, and over millions of songs so that users can play their favorites, discover new tracks and build a personalized collection. Its users can either select Spotify Free, which includes only shuffle play or Spotify Premium, which encompasses a range of features, such as shuffle play, advertisement free, unlimited skips, listen offline, play any track and audio. The Company operates through a number of subsidiaries, including Spotify LTD and is present in over 20 countries. Its service offers a music listening experience without commercial breaks.

AI分析 of Spotify Technology SA (SPOT)

中立

Spotify is currently priced at $530.46, which is close to the average analyst target of $540. The RSI is at 65.48, indicating it is nearing overbought territory, while the forward P/E ratio is 28.57, suggesting it may be overvalued compared to its growth potential. The main risk is the downgrade from StoneX, which reflects concerns about short-term financial optics, despite long-term growth potential.

アナリスト評価(8)

上値余地 +28.63%
買い
6 買い
2 中立
0 売り
現在: 583.66
安値
525.00
平均
750.79
高値
900.00

Cantor Fitzgerald

2026-10-12

目標株価

$490

中立

Piper Sandler

2026-10-08

目標株価

$540

中立

UBS

2026-10-05

目標株価

$675

買い

KeyBanc

2026-10-01

目標株価

$660

オーバーウェイト

Rosenblatt

2026-08-05

目標株価

$527

中立

バリュエーション指標

Spotify Technology SA(SPOT)の現在の予想PERは28.57で、5年平均は10.34です。

予想PER

適正
5年平均 P/E
10.34
現在のP/E
28.57
割高
148.36
割安
-127.69

予想EV/EBITDA

適正
5年平均 EV/EBITDA
2.92
現在のEV/EBITDA
36.15
割高
116.93
割安
-111.09

予想PSR

割高
5年平均 P/S
3.56
現在のP/S
5.37
割高
5.31
割安
1.81

Alphio AI による SPOT の価格シナリオ

シナリオ価格は本年の最終月次予想レンジです。確率はモデルの固定ウェイト(25 / 50 / 25)であり、保証ではありません。

強

強気

強気 · 25%SPOT

$838.65

シナリオ価格

基

基本

基本 · 50%SPOT

$761.07

シナリオ価格

弱

弱気

弱気 · 25%SPOT

$695.82

シナリオ価格

SPOT を保有するクジラ

F

Fernbridge Capital Management LP

+ を保有SPOT

+23.24%

3か月リターン

B

Baron Capital Group, Inc.

+ を保有SPOTMSCI

+13.04%

3か月リターン

A

Ardmore Road Asset Management LP

+ を保有SPOT

+10.76%

3か月リターン

V

ValueAct Capital Management, L.P.

+ を保有SPOT

+9.55%

3か月リターン

T

TCMI Inc.

+ を保有SPOT

+7.67%

3か月リターン

L

Lakewood Capital Management, LP

+ を保有SPOT

+7.05%

3か月リターン

イベントタイムライン

2026-10-22 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq and S&P 500 Decline Amid AI Spending Concerns

12:00:00

Meta Shares Slide, Tesla Faces Investment Pressure

10:30:00

Spotify Stock Rises 8% to $567.48

09:00:00

Tech Stocks Plummet, Tesla Down 3%

06:30:00

Spotify Sees Q4 Revenue of EUR 5.2B

ニュース

SPOT のよくある質問 — Alphio AI が回答

Spotify Technology SA a Luxembourg-based company, which offers digital music-streaming services. The Company enables users to discover new releases, which includes the latest singles and albums; playlists, which includes ready-made playlists put together by music fans and experts, and over millions of songs so that users can play their favorites, discover new tracks and build a personalized collection. Its users can either select Spotify Free, which includes only shuffle play or Spotify Premium, which encompasses a range of features, such as shuffle play, advertisement free, unlimited skips, listen offline, play any track and audio. The Company operates through a number of subsidiaries, including Spotify LTD and is present in over 20 countries. Its service offers a music listening experience without commercial breaks. It operates in the Technology sector.

Spotify is currently priced at $530.46, which is close to the average analyst target of $540. The RSI is at 65.48, indicating it is nearing overbought territory, while the forward P/E ratio is 28.57, suggesting it may be overvalued compared to its growth potential. The main risk is the downgrade from StoneX, which reflects concerns about short-term financial optics, despite long-term growth potential.

8 analysts cover SPOT: 6 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 750.79.

コミュニティ

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eMarketer: Over the last 5 quarters, $SPOT has grown its ad-supported user base from 420M to 490M users. Yet over that same period, ad-supported revs has declined y/y in 4 of the 5 quarters and grew just +1% in the most recent one. The company's 2Q26 results showed total rev growth of +14%, but that performance was driven almost entirely by premium subs, which account for 90% of Spotify's business Spotify leads streaming audio, so its advertising struggles signal broader challenges for the medium. If the category leader can't monetize a massive ad-supported audience, the problem likely lies in how advertisers value audio inventory compared with other digital channels Spotify has poured more than $1B into its podcast business, and executives believe podcast ads could eventually drive 40% margins. That bet rests on what makes podcast audiences different. Most podcasts have tiny but intensely engaged audiences. The average podcast gets just 27 listens in the first week, according to Buzzsprout. Weekly podcast listeners find podcast hosts twice as important as social media influencers, per Cumulus Media, and 67% of global listeners have made a purchase directly because of a podcaster, according to Acast. Just 25% of US adults consider podcast advertising annoying, compared with 50% for online display ads and 46% for $GOOGL YouTube, according to YouGov Spotify is exploring new ways to monetize premium subscribers beyond monthly fees. A partnership with Live Nation gives premium subscribers early access to concert tickets based on how much they stream and share an artist's music. The perk is hard to justify. At $144 per year for Spotify Premium, subs would need to attend multiple concerts annually to justify the expense, and tickets for popular artists remain prohibitively expensive regardless of early access.

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