NiSource Inc（NI）の株式分析NINiSource Inc

Fear & Greed Index is at 70. Can I still chase longs here? Yes, but only with a stop loss, and position size must be halved. $BT is at 81642, running right along the upper Bollinger Band at 81604.6. MA5 > MA20 bullish alignment is still intact, MACD histogram at +77.41 is still expanding, and the trend itself is fine. The issue is RSI at 65.2 combined with Fear & Greed at 70 — sentiment is running hot. The 30-candle range is only 1.94%, and low volatility often precedes a turning point. Funding rate at +0.0047% is neutral-to-bullish; longs are not yet crowded to a dangerous level, but the risk-reward for chasing highs is no longer good. Strategy-wise, a pullback to the MA5 area around 81200–81350 for a long entry is more stable, with a stop loss below MA20 at 80600. If it breaks below that, exit and accept the mistake — that level is also the last line of defense above the lower Bollinger Band at 80003. Take profit 1 at 82500 (prior high extension), take profit 2 at 83600 (measured target). If price breaks below 80600 on volume and the MACD histogram turns negative, exit regardless of profit or loss — that is discipline, not judgment. Worst-case scenario: if sentiment quickly falls from greed back to neutral, BTC could retest the 80000 round number in one move. By then the stop loss would already be triggered, and what you need to do is accept the loss rather than hold and hope. Also watch: $NI and $AR, with RSI at 74.1 and 66.0 respectively. Both are stronger than BTC short-term but more overbought, so pullback risk rises accordingly — not suitable as a safe-haven alternative. (Personal view, for reference only, not investment advice. Futures risk is extremely high, please strictly control your position size.) [Data] Pair: BTCUSDT Direction: Long Entry: 81200-81350 TP1: 82500 TP2: 83600 Stop Loss: 80600