Casella Waste Systems Inc

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) Stock Analysis

$93.680

+0.684 (+0.73%)At close

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High
94.225
Open
94.160
VWAP
93.43
Vol
361.90K
Mkt Cap
5.80B
Low
92.390
Amount
33.81M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
16.93

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. is a regional, vertically integrated solid waste services company. The Company provides resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers, primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services. It also holds collection operations across eastern Pennsylvania and western New Jersey. It manages its solid waste operations on a geographic basis through three regional operating segments: the Eastern, Western and Mid-Atlantic regions, each of which provides a comprehensive range of non-hazardous solid waste services. It manages its resource renewal operations through the Resource Solutions operating segment, which leverages its core competencies in materials processing, industrial recycling, organics and resource management service offerings to deliver comprehensive solutions for its commercial, municipal, institutional and industrial customers.

AI analysis of Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)

buy

Casella Waste Systems Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent strong earnings performance, with Q2 revenue of $543.7 million exceeding expectations and a 16.9% year-on-year growth. The current price of $93.68 is well below the analyst price target of $120, indicating a potential upside of 28%. Additionally, the RSI of 58.95 suggests that the stock is not overbought, providing a favorable entry point for long-term investors. However, the main risk is the high forward P/E ratio of 74.63, which indicates that the stock is priced for significant growth, and any failure to meet growth expectations could lead to a decline in share price.

Analyst Ratings (5)

+22.04% upside
Buy
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 93.68
Low
111.00
Average
114.33
High
120.00

JPMorgan

2026-08-10

Price Target

$105

Neutral

Barclays

2026-08-10

Price Target

$104

Overweight

UBS

2026-06-26

Price Target

$122

Buy

Barclays

2026-05-04

Price Target

$102

Overweight

UBS

2026-03-10

Price Target

$130

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST) is 74.63, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 94.01.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
94.01
Current P/E
74.63
Overvalued
120.73
Undervalued
67.29

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
17.75
Current EV/EBITDA
16.93
Overvalued
19.55
Undervalued
15.95

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.51
Current P/S
2.63
Overvalued
4.03
Undervalued
2.99

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CWST

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CWST

$155.46

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CWST

$140.25

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CWST

$122.57

Scenario price

Whales holding CWST

G

Granahan Investment Management, LLC

+ HoldingCWST

+12.25%

3M Return

W

Wasatch Advisors LP

+ HoldingCWST

+5.19%

3M Return

G

Granite Investment Partners, LLC

+ HoldingCWST

+2.12%

3M Return

Z

Zimmer Partners, LP

+ HoldingCWST

+1.59%

3M Return

A

Aristotle Capital Boston, LLC

+ HoldingCWST

+1.04%

3M Return

C

Conestoga Capital Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingCWST

-1.99%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-28 (ET)

17:30:00

Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy Launch RNG Production Facility in New York

2026-07-01 (ET)

08:30:00

Casella Waste Appoints Damian Ribar as COO

2026-04-30 (ET)

16:10:00

Casella Waste Systems Q1 Revenue at $457.32M

16:10:00

Company Raises FY26 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook to $473M-$483M

2026-03-16 (ET)

09:10:00

Casella Waste Systems Appoints Christopher Rains as Chief Revenue Officer

News

CWST FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. is a regional, vertically integrated solid waste services company. The Company provides resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers, primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services. It also holds collection operations across eastern Pennsylvania and western New Jersey. It manages its solid waste operations on a geographic basis through three regional operating segments: the Eastern, Western and Mid-Atlantic regions, each of which provides a comprehensive range of non-hazardous solid waste services. It manages its resource renewal operations through the Resource Solutions operating segment, which leverages its core competencies in materials processing, industrial recycling, organics and resource management service offerings to deliver comprehensive solutions for its commercial, municipal, institutional and industrial customers. It operates in the Industrials sector (REFUSE SYSTEMS industry).

Casella Waste Systems Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent strong earnings performance, with Q2 revenue of $543.7 million exceeding expectations and a 16.9% year-on-year growth. The current price of $93.68 is well below the analyst price target of $120, indicating a potential upside of 28%. Additionally, the RSI of 58.95 suggests that the stock is not overbought, providing a favorable entry point for long-term investors. However, the main risk is the high forward P/E ratio of 74.63, which indicates that the stock is priced for significant growth, and any failure to meet growth expectations could lead to a decline in share price.

5 analysts cover CWST: 3 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 114.33.

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