Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Stock Analysis

$8.000

+0.061 (+0.76%)At close

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High
8.055
Open
7.980
VWAP
8.00
Vol
677.03K
Mkt Cap
1.93B
Low
7.930
Amount
5.41M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.91

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's franchisee. The Company operates or franchises over 2,140 McDonald's-branded restaurants. It divides its operations into four geographical divisions: Brazil; the Caribbean division, consisting of Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States Virgin Islands of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas, and Venezuela; the North Latin America division (NOLAD), consisting of Costa Rica, Mexico and Panama, and the South Latin America division (SLAD), consisting of Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay. Its menus feature over three tiers of products: entry-level options, such as its Big Pleasures, Small Prices offerings and Almuerzos Colombianos (Colombian Lunches) in Colombia; core menu options, such as the Big Mac, Happy Meal and Quarter Pounder, and premium options, such as Big Tasty or Angus premium hamburgers and chicken sandwiches and low-calorie or low-sodium products.

AI analysis of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO)

buy

Arcos Dorados is a good buy right now due to its current price of $8, a low forward P/E ratio of 14.51, and a recent earnings surprise of 46.67%. The company shows a solid revenue growth trend, with Q2 2026 revenue reaching $1.3 billion, and a net income of $45 million, indicating strong profitability. However, the main risk is its high debt-to-equity ratio of 119.17%, which suggests reliance on borrowed funds.

Analyst Ratings (4)

+6.25% upside
Buy
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 8.00
Low
8.50
Average
8.50
High
8.50

JPMorgan

2026-07-16

Price Target

$10.50

Overweight

BofA

2026-06-15

Price Target

Buy

Grupo Santander

2026-04-19

Price Target

$14

Outperform

Goldman Sachs

2026-04-08

Price Target

Buy

Morgan Stanley

2026-03-19

Price Target

$11.50

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) is 14.51, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.83.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.83
Current P/E
14.51
Overvalued
16.51
Undervalued
9.16

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.11
Current EV/EBITDA
6.91
Overvalued
8.09
Undervalued
6.13

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.40
Current P/S
0.30
Overvalued
0.48
Undervalued
0.32

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ARCO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ARCO

$8.81

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ARCO

$8.44

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ARCO

$6.91

Scenario price

Whales holding ARCO

P

Pendal Group Limited

+ HoldingARCO

-1.74%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-13 (ET)

07:30:00

Arcos Dorados Reports Q2 Revenue of $1.3B, a Record High

2026-05-20 (ET)

07:20:00

Arcos Dorados Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.22B

2026-03-19 (ET)

09:00:00

Stock Futures Modestly Lower Following Fed Policy Decision

07:40:00

Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $1.27B

07:40:00

Arcos Dorados Announces 2026 Cash Dividend of $0.28 per Share

News

ARCO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's franchisee. The Company operates or franchises over 2,140 McDonald's-branded restaurants. It divides its operations into four geographical divisions: Brazil; the Caribbean division, consisting of Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States Virgin Islands of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas, and Venezuela; the North Latin America division (NOLAD), consisting of Costa Rica, Mexico and Panama, and the South Latin America division (SLAD), consisting of Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay. Its menus feature over three tiers of products: entry-level options, such as its Big Pleasures, Small Prices offerings and Almuerzos Colombianos (Colombian Lunches) in Colombia; core menu options, such as the Big Mac, Happy Meal and Quarter Pounder, and premium options, such as Big Tasty or Angus premium hamburgers and chicken sandwiches and low-calorie or low-sodium products. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (EATING PLACES industry).

Arcos Dorados is a good buy right now due to its current price of $8, a low forward P/E ratio of 14.51, and a recent earnings surprise of 46.67%. The company shows a solid revenue growth trend, with Q2 2026 revenue reaching $1.3 billion, and a net income of $45 million, indicating strong profitability. However, the main risk is its high debt-to-equity ratio of 119.17%, which suggests reliance on borrowed funds.

4 analysts cover ARCO: 4 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 8.50.

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