ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Análisis de la acción ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

$20.170

+0.151 (+0.75%)Al cierre

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Máximo
20.230
Apertura
20.230
Precio medio ponderado por volumen
20.14
Volumen
1.59M
Capitalización
16.84B
Mínimo
20.020
Importe
32.07M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
1.56

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

Análisis de IA of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

Mantener

ZTO Express is currently not a strong buy due to a recent downgrade from analysts and mixed performance indicators. The current price is $20.17, which is below the analyst target of $22, indicating limited upside potential. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.38, which is relatively low, but the gross margin is only 25.66%, suggesting that profitability may be under pressure. The main risk is the recent cut in full-year parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year, which could impact future earnings.

Recomendaciones de analistas (15)

Comprar
13 Comprar
0 Mantener
2 Vender
Actual: 20.17
Mínimo
—
Promedio
—
Máximo
—

JPMorgan

2026-09-02

Precio objetivo

$22

Neutral

Macquarie

2026-07-08

Precio objetivo

—

Superar al mercado

BofA

2026-05-27

Precio objetivo

$27

Neutral

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-20

Precio objetivo

—

Sobreponderar

Daiwa

2026-03-18

Precio objetivo

—

Superar al mercado

Métricas de valoración

El PER previsto actual de ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) es 9.38, frente a su media de 5 años de 14.91.

PER previsto

Infravalorado
Media 5A P/E
14.91
P/E actual
9.38
Sobrevalorada
18.94
Infravalorada
10.89

EV/EBITDA previsto

Infravalorado
Media 5A EV/EBITDA
7.92
EV/EBITDA actual
1.56
Sobrevalorada
11.38
Infravalorada
4.45

Precio/ventas previsto

Infravalorado
Media 5A P/S
2.65
P/S actual
0.24
Sobrevalorada
3.86
Infravalorada
1.43

Escenarios de precio de Alphio AI para ZTO

Los precios por escenario son la última banda de previsión mensual del año en curso. Las probabilidades son pesos fijos del modelo (25 / 50 / 25), no garantías.

A

Alcista

Alcista · 25%ZTO

$21.48

Precio del escenario

B

Base

Base · 50%ZTO

$20.89

Precio del escenario

B

Bajista

Bajista · 25%ZTO

$17.84

Precio del escenario

Ballenas con ZTO en cartera

E

Essence Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ Con en carteraZTOONC

+3.01%

Rentabilidad a 3 meses

S

Shanghai Orient Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd.

+ Con en carteraZTOBABA

-13.25%

Rentabilidad a 3 meses

R

Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD

+ Con en carteraZTOBABA

-15.02%

Rentabilidad a 3 meses

A

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

+ Con en carteraZTO

-15.42%

Rentabilidad a 3 meses

Cronología de eventos

2026-09-21 (ET)

10:30:00

ZTO Express Shares Down 7.5% to $19.39

2026-05-19 (ET)

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.93B, Up 22% YoY

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at RMB 13.282 Billion

2026-02-04 (ET)

08:30:00

ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes

05:20:00

Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B

Noticias

Preguntas frecuentes sobre ZTO, respondidas por Alphio AI

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. It operates in the Industrials sector.

ZTO Express is currently not a strong buy due to a recent downgrade from analysts and mixed performance indicators. The current price is $20.17, which is below the analyst target of $22, indicating limited upside potential. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.38, which is relatively low, but the gross margin is only 25.66%, suggesting that profitability may be under pressure. The main risk is the recent cut in full-year parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year, which could impact future earnings.

15 analysts cover ZTO: 13 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 2 Sell.

Comunidad

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