ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Stock Analysis

$21.500

+0.314 (+1.46%)At close

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High
21.570
Open
21.280
VWAP
21.40
Vol
1.86M
Mkt Cap
16.84B
Low
21.130
Amount
39.88M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
1.61

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

AI analysis of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

buy

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $21.50, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $31.60 from Macquarie. The company has shown strong earnings growth with a recent EPS of 0.56 and a gross margin of 25.66% in Q2 2026, indicating solid profitability. However, the main risk is the potential stake sale by Alibaba, which could impact the stock's performance.

Analyst Ratings (15)

Buy
13 Buy
0 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 21.50
Low
Average
High

Macquarie

2026-07-08

Price Target

Outperform

BofA

2026-05-27

Price Target

$27

Neutral

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-20

Price Target

Overweight

Daiwa

2026-03-18

Price Target

Outperform

BofA

2026-02-23

Price Target

$26

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) is 11.47, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 15.42.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
15.42
Current P/E
11.47
Overvalued
19.93
Undervalued
10.91

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.29
Current EV/EBITDA
1.61
Overvalued
11.81
Undervalued
4.78

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
2.77
Current P/S
0.26
Overvalued
3.96
Undervalued
1.57

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ZTO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ZTO

$21.48

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ZTO

$20.89

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ZTO

$17.84

Scenario price

Whales holding ZTO

H

Hang Seng Investment Management Limited

+ HoldingZTO

+0.59%

3M Return

C

China Merchants Fund Management Company Ltd.

+ HoldingZTO

-1.71%

3M Return

A

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

+ HoldingZTO

-3.32%

3M Return

R

Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD

+ HoldingZTOBABA

-3.61%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-05-19 (ET)

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.93B, Up 22% YoY

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at RMB 13.282 Billion

2026-02-04 (ET)

08:30:00

ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes

05:20:00

Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B

2025-11-19 (ET)

17:06:49

ZTO Express announces Q3 adjusted EPS of RMB3.06, surpassing consensus estimate of RMB2.51

News

ZTO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. It operates in the Industrials sector.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $21.50, which is significantly below the analyst price target of $31.60 from Macquarie. The company has shown strong earnings growth with a recent EPS of 0.56 and a gross margin of 25.66% in Q2 2026, indicating solid profitability. However, the main risk is the potential stake sale by Alibaba, which could impact the stock's performance.

15 analysts cover ZTO: 13 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 2 Sell.

Diese Seite dient nur der Recherche und ist keine Anlageberatung. Modelle können falsch liegen. Vergangene Wertentwicklung ist kein Indikator für die Zukunft.

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