Alcoa Corp

Alcoa Corp (AA) Stock Analysis

$50.320

-0.855 (-1.70%)At close

Loading chart…
High
51.702
Open
51.230
VWAP
50.57
Vol
2.42M
Mkt Cap
6.97B
Low
49.680
Amount
122.18M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
4.18

Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company's operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, and its operations include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold primarily to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company's aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company's energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of over 25 operating locations across eight countries.

AI analysis of Alcoa Corp (AA)

hold

Alcoa Corp is not a strong buy right now. The current price is $50.32, which is below the average analyst price target of $55. The stock has a forward P/E of 9.66, indicating it may be undervalued, but the recent 5-day change of -2.95% and a 1-year change of +62.64% suggest volatility. Additionally, the RSI of 49.26 indicates it is neither overbought nor oversold, making it a cautious hold rather than a buy. The main risk is the recent downgrade in analyst targets, which reflects concerns about market conditions and aluminum prices.

Analyst Ratings (14)

+14.53% upside
Buy
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 50.32
Low
38.00
Average
57.63
High
78.00

Argus

2026-07-22

Price Target

$55

Buy

JPMorgan

2026-07-17

Price Target

$52

Neutral

BMO Capital

2026-07-17

Price Target

$55

Market Perform

Wells Fargo

2026-07-17

Price Target

$71

Overweight

JPMorgan

2026-07-09

Price Target

$55

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alcoa Corp (AA) is 9.66, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -5.99.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
-5.99
Current P/E
9.66
Overvalued
55.48
Undervalued
-67.47

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.92
Current EV/EBITDA
4.18
Overvalued
10.27
Undervalued
3.56

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.74
Current P/S
0.89
Overvalued
0.96
Undervalued
0.52

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AA

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AA

$33.25

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AA

$30.79

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AA

$25.71

Scenario price

Whales holding AA

B

Baker Steel Capital Managers LLP

+ HoldingAA

+7.33%

3M Return

E

Eagle Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingAA

+4.02%

3M Return

H

Hosking Partners LLP

+ HoldingAA

+3.71%

3M Return

A

ARGA Investment Management, LLC

+ HoldingAA

-1.34%

3M Return

C

Cookson Peirce & Co Inc

+ HoldingAA

-3.96%

3M Return

A

Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd.

+ HoldingAA

-28.13%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-26 (ET)

10:30:00

Canada Raises Tariffs on U.S. Steel and Aluminum to 50%

2026-08-25 (ET)

11:30:00

Canada Imposes 50% Tariffs on U.S. Steel and Aluminum

2026-08-24 (ET)

06:30:00

Alcoa Partners with Australia, Japan, and US to Build Gallium Production Plant

2026-08-19 (ET)

14:00:00

U.S.-Canada Tentative Trade Agreement Cuts Steel and Aluminum Tariffs to 25%

2026-07-21 (ET)

10:30:00

Trump Administration Imposes 50% Tariffs on Canadian Goods

News

AA FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company's operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, and its operations include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold primarily to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company's aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company's energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of over 25 operating locations across eight countries. It operates in the Basic Materials sector (PRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUM industry).

Alcoa Corp is not a strong buy right now. The current price is $50.32, which is below the average analyst price target of $55. The stock has a forward P/E of 9.66, indicating it may be undervalued, but the recent 5-day change of -2.95% and a 1-year change of +62.64% suggest volatility. Additionally, the RSI of 49.26 indicates it is neither overbought nor oversold, making it a cautious hold rather than a buy. The main risk is the recent downgrade in analyst targets, which reflects concerns about market conditions and aluminum prices.

14 analysts cover AA: 9 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 57.63.

Diese Seite dient nur der Recherche und ist keine Anlageberatung. Modelle können falsch liegen. Vergangene Wertentwicklung ist kein Indikator für die Zukunft.

Kostenlos starten