ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)股票分析

$20.170

+0.151 (+0.75%)收盤時

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最高
20.230
開盤
20.230
成交量加權均價
20.14
成交量
1.59M
市值
16.84B
最低
20.020
成交金額
32.07M
企業價值/稅息折舊攤銷前利潤(TTM)
1.56

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

AI 分析 of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

持有

ZTO Express is currently not a strong buy due to a recent downgrade from analysts and mixed performance indicators. The current price is $20.17, which is below the analyst target of $22, indicating limited upside potential. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.38, which is relatively low, but the gross margin is only 25.66%, suggesting that profitability may be under pressure. The main risk is the recent cut in full-year parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year, which could impact future earnings.

分析師評級(15)

買進
13 買進
0 持有
2 賣出
目前: 20.17
最低
—
平均
—
最高
—

JPMorgan

2026-09-02

目標價

$22

中性

Macquarie

2026-07-08

目標價

—

優於大盤

BofA

2026-05-27

目標價

$27

中性

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-20

目標價

—

增持

Daiwa

2026-03-18

目標價

—

優於大盤

估值指標

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)目前預期本益比為 9.38,5 年平均預期本益比為 14.91。

預期本益比

低估
5 年均值 P/E
14.91
目前P/E
9.38
高估
18.94
低估
10.89

預期 EV/EBITDA

低估
5 年均值 EV/EBITDA
7.92
目前EV/EBITDA
1.56
高估
11.38
低估
4.45

預期股價營收比

低估
5 年均值 P/S
2.65
目前P/S
0.24
高估
3.86
低估
1.43

Alphio AI 對 ZTO 的價格情境

情境價格取自當年最後一個月度預測區間。機率為固定的模型權重(25 / 50 / 25),不構成保證。

樂

樂觀

樂觀 · 25%ZTO

$21.48

情境價格

基

基準

基準 · 50%ZTO

$20.89

情境價格

悲

悲觀

悲觀 · 25%ZTO

$17.84

情境價格

持有 ZTO 的大戶

E

Essence Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ 持有ZTOONC

+3.01%

3個月報酬率

S

Shanghai Orient Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd.

+ 持有ZTOBABA

-13.25%

3個月報酬率

R

Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD

+ 持有ZTOBABA

-15.02%

3個月報酬率

A

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

+ 持有ZTO

-15.42%

3個月報酬率

事件時間軸

2026-09-21 (ET)

10:30:00

ZTO Express Shares Down 7.5% to $19.39

2026-05-19 (ET)

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.93B, Up 22% YoY

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at RMB 13.282 Billion

2026-02-04 (ET)

08:30:00

ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes

05:20:00

Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B

資訊

ZTO 常見問題 —— 由 Alphio AI 解答

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. It operates in the Industrials sector.

ZTO Express is currently not a strong buy due to a recent downgrade from analysts and mixed performance indicators. The current price is $20.17, which is below the analyst target of $22, indicating limited upside potential. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.38, which is relatively low, but the gross margin is only 25.66%, suggesting that profitability may be under pressure. The main risk is the recent cut in full-year parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year, which could impact future earnings.

15 analysts cover ZTO: 13 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 2 Sell.

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