Marathon Petroleum Corp

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) Stock Analysis

$368.830

+5.385 (+1.46%)At close

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High
369.120
Open
363.740
VWAP
367.03
Vol
1.92M
Mkt Cap
60.92B
Low
363.150
Amount
704.41M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.45

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream, and midstream energy company. The Company's segment includes Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, to buyers on the spot market and through long-term supply contracts with dealers who operate locations under the ARCO brand.

AI analysis of Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

buy

Marathon Petroleum Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and favorable financial metrics. The current price is $368.83, which is well supported by a robust EPS growth rate of 336% anticipated for 2026 and a forward P/E ratio of 11.29, indicating it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. Additionally, the company has shown a significant year-to-date change of +123.34%, reflecting strong market momentum. However, a key risk is the hedge fund selling activity, which has increased by 178.21% over the last quarter, indicating potential volatility ahead.

Analyst Ratings (19)

-45.37% downside
Buy
14 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 368.83
Low
184.00
Average
201.50
High
213.00

Mizuho

2026-08-11

Price Target

$304

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2026-08-06

Price Target

$344

Overweight

Barclays

2026-08-06

Price Target

$321

Overweight

Freedom Broker

2026-08-05

Price Target

$297

Hold

TD Cowen

2026-08-05

Price Target

$375

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) is 11.29, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.48.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
11.48
Current P/E
11.29
Overvalued
17.53
Undervalued
5.43

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.18
Current EV/EBITDA
6.45
Overvalued
10.56
Undervalued
3.80

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.41
Current P/S
0.73
Overvalued
0.49
Undervalued
0.33

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MPC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MPC

$128.97

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MPC

$123.78

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MPC

$122.56

Scenario price

Whales holding MPC

T

Turtle Creek Management, LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+18.57%

3M Return

R

Readystate Asset Management LP

+ HoldingMPC

+11.43%

3M Return

P

Pacer Advisors, Inc.

+ HoldingMPC

+6.96%

3M Return

N

NFJ Investment Group, LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+6.30%

3M Return

T

Tortoise Capital Advisors, L.L.C.

+ HoldingMPC

+6.10%

3M Return

C

Capital Wealth Planning, LLC

+ HoldingMPC

+5.72%

3M Return

MPC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream, and midstream energy company. The Company's segment includes Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, to buyers on the spot market and through long-term supply contracts with dealers who operate locations under the ARCO brand. It operates in the Energy sector (PETROLEUM REFINING industry).

Marathon Petroleum Corp is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance and favorable financial metrics. The current price is $368.83, which is well supported by a robust EPS growth rate of 336% anticipated for 2026 and a forward P/E ratio of 11.29, indicating it is undervalued compared to its growth potential. Additionally, the company has shown a significant year-to-date change of +123.34%, reflecting strong market momentum. However, a key risk is the hedge fund selling activity, which has increased by 178.21% over the last quarter, indicating potential volatility ahead.

19 analysts cover MPC: 14 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 201.50.

本頁僅供研究參考,不構成投資建議。模型可能出錯。過往表現不代表未來結果。

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