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Netflix Q3 Earnings Beat Expectations, Outlook Weak
"Now Streaming" is The Fly's weekly recap of the stories surrounding the biggest content streamers.PLAYING THIS WEEKEND:Among this weekend's most notable new streaming content is season three of Netflixromantic comedy series "Nobody Wants This," starring Kristen Bell and Adam Brody. Netflix subscribers can also catch the new season of French mystery thriller series "Lupin," while Prime Videousers can watch season two of action thriller series "The Terminal List," starring Chris Pratt and Taylor Kitsch.NETFLIX RESULTS:Earlier this week, Netflix reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings per share with revenue that was in-line with consensus estimates. Operating margin grew to 34.6% from 28.2% year-over-year, with the company noting that revenue growth was driven primarily by subscription revenue, reflecting increases in memberships and pricing, growth in advertising revenue and a favorable impact from F/X rates, net of hedging. Looking ahead, Netflix provided a downbeat outlook for Q4 earnings and revenue and a below-consensus revenue outlook for fiscal 2026.Following the report, at least a dozen securities analysts cut their price targets on the shares, with UBS saying that the Q3 results were in line on revenue with better expense-timing-driven profits, while softer Q4 guidance and weaker advertising point to 2026 revenue at the low end of guidance. Margins and long-term goals remain intact, with improved U.S. content execution, focused investment in core film/TV/live offerings, and a new Chief Content Officer key to restoring engagement and growth, the firm added.Additionally, Needham analyst Laura Martin downgraded Netflix to Hold from Buy without a price target. The company's FX-neutral revenue growth decelerated from 14% in Q1 to 12% in Q2 and to 11% in Q3, with single-digit revenue growth projected in FY27, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Netflix content problem "seems clear", and while the firm believes Peter Rice is "an excellent TV executive," it will take him about two years to fix the company's $20 billion content slate, Needham noted, stating that the strategic position at Netflix relative to YouTubeis deteriorating.COMCAST RESULTS:Comcastalso reported quarterly results this week, with adjusted earnings per share and revenue for the third quarter coming in ahead of consensus estimates. Of note, Comcast's Peacock streaming platform delivered EBITDA of $261M, increasing $478M year-over-year, with paid subscribers on the platform rising 17% year-over-year to 48M. Looking ahead, CFO Jason Armstrong said during the company's earnings call, "We're simplifying our organizational structure to move faster, improve execution, and operate more efficiently. As part of this transformation, we do expect to take a significant charge in the fourth quarter... We expect to have a significant charge in the fourth quarter related mostly to our transformation efforts, and I would quantify that at over $1 billion."Following the report, several analysts lowered their price targets on the stock, with Citi saying the upcoming "transformation activities" to which the company alluded are "apt to create some uncertainty on 2027 expectations." Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng lowered the firm's price target on Comcast to $23 from $24 and maintained a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's results demonstrated improving trends in Connectivity & Platforms segment EBITDA and broadband ARPU, which should continue in Q4 and provide confidence in Comcast's convergence strategy, the analyst tells investors in a research note. That said, broadband net losses missed and likely will continue to see pressure from increasing competition well the management focuses more on managing broadband as part of the overall converged relationship, the firm added.COMCAST JOB CUTS:Prior to the release of the Q3 print, Bloomberg's Kelcee Griffis reported that Comcast intends to cut a significant number of jobs as part of a broader overhaul of its cable TV, broadband, and wireless businesses. The reorganization is meant to put the company in a stronger position to operate as an independent entity after it spins off the NBCUniversal businesses in 2027, the author noted.SKYDANCE INVESTMENT:On Wednesday, John Malone said he predicts SpaceXcould invest $8B-$10B in Skydanceand secure a global content-output deal, helping David Ellison reduce the media company's debt burden while giving Elon Musk's company access to content and other assets, The Hollywood Reporter's Alex Weperin reported. "I think there's a deal coming there," Malone said at the Paley Center International Council Summit, pointing to the financial ties between Musk and Oraclefounder Larry Ellison, David Ellison's father and a major backer of Skydance. A day later, Semafor's Rohan Goswami reported that Elon Musk has invested roughly $1B in Skydance, according to people familiar with the matter.VERSANT/DISNEY:Versantannounced a licensing agreement to stream season one of E!'s The Golden Life on Hulu. The first two episodes will be available on Hulu and Hulu on Disney+for bundle subscribers in the U.S. beginning November 3, with remaining episodes available seven days after premiering on E!.FUBO/NBA:On Thursday, FuboTVannounced new distribution agreements for carriage of seven regional sports networks for the 2026-2027 National Basketball League season. The Fubo streaming service will continue to carry local coverage of the following teams in each respective market through new distribution agreements: Atlanta Hawks; Charlotte Hornets; Detroit Pistons; Miami HEAT; Milwaukee Bucks; Oklahoma City Thunder; Orlando Magic. Carriage of the Los Angeles Clippers was previously announced through a direct distribution agreement with the NBA and the team.STOCK PLAYS:Other publicly traded companies in the streaming space include Apple, AMC Networks, Fox, and Roku.
Fox Corporation Chief Legal Officer Adam Ciongoli Resigns
Fox Corporation announced that Adam Ciongoli, Chief Legal and Policy Officer, will not be renewing his contract and will step down from that role effective December 1. Concurrent with this change, Ciongoli will transition to serve as a special advisor to FOX through June 2028. Nicholas Trutanich, currently Executive Vice President, Principal Deputy General Counsel, will become General Counsel of the company effective December 1, reporting to Executive Chair and Chief Executive Officer Lachlan Murdoch.
Nasdaq Falls 2% Amid AI Investment Concerns
The major averages finished broadly lower to end a volatile week marked by hotter-than-expected inflation data and renewed concerns about the sustainability of AI-related investments. Technology stocks led the Nasdaq to a 2% pullback as investors question the debt financing and profitability underpinning the AI infrastructure boom.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Tesla'sElon Musk unveiled the redesigned, SpaceX-powered second-generation Tesla RoadsterCertain current investors in Anthropic and prospective investors in the company's upcoming public listing are considering a lower valuation for the Claude maker after its latest financial disclosures amid broader concerns over the ballooning AI valuations, Reuters reportsThe U.K.'s Competition and Markets Authority is proposing to designate Microsoftwith strategic market status in its business software ecosystemTravelersreported better-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenueExxon Mobilsaid that higher refining margins have added $4.5B to Q3 earnings2. WALL STREET CALLS:BofA double upgraded Fox Corp.to Buy from UnderperformWorkdaydowngraded to Sector Weight from OverweightRaymond James upgraded Capri Holdingsto Strong Buy from OutperformOppenheimer downgraded Equifaxto Perform from OutperformBrinkerupgraded to Strong Buy at Raymond James3. AROUND THE WEB:The NBA is prohibiting certain types of bets this season, ESPN reportsThe U.K.'s CMA is seeking changes to Apple'stap-to-pay feature, FT reportsOpenAI has agreed not to use trade secrets that Appleclaims were stolen while their lawsuit plays out, and to collect forensic images of 14 employees' devices, Bloomberg reportsSeven Democratic senators accused Metaof potentially misusing federal R&D tax credits by claiming $6.6B over two years for AI data center construction, NY Times saysCircleis entering 40 emerging and developing countries as blockchain adoption is set to scale significantly, Reuters says4. MOVERS:Alcoagained after reporting Q3 results, providing guidance for Q4, and backing its guidance for FY26Avino Silver & Gold Minesincreased in New York after Roth Capital upgraded the stock to BuyKarmanwas higher after Macquarie initiated coverage of the stock with an Outperform ratingEmergent BioSolutionswas lower after announcing CFO Richard Lindahl will retireOmerosfell after receiving a negative CHMP opinion on its MAA for narsoplimab5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Fox Factoryprovided guidance for Q3 and Q4, and cut its outlook for FY26Citizens Financialreported Q3 results, with EPS beating consensusRegions Financialreported Q3 results, with CEO John Turner stating the company is "delivering strong results"Private Bancorp of Americareported Q3 results, with EPS missing consensusM&T Bankreported Q3 results, with EPS beating consensusINDEXES:The Dow fell 175.28, or 0.34%, to 52,002.41, the Nasdaq lost 572.99, or 2.14%, to 26,140.03, and the S&P 500 declined 84.62, or 1.09%, to 7,659.44.
Dow Rises Slightly, Nasdaq Falls 1%
The major averages were mixed near noon, with the Dow posting a small gain and the Nasdaq pulling back by 1%, as markets seek to stabilize at the end of a volatile week marked by hotter-than-expected inflation data and renewed concerns about the sustainability of AI-related investments. Technology stocks remain under pressure as investors question the debt financing and profitability underpinning the AI infrastructure boom. Despite these concerns, Treasury yields are holding steady after being elevated for weeks, and oil prices are easing somewhat but remain close to $100 per barrel.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Tesla'sElon Musk unveiled the redesigned, SpaceX-powered second-generation Tesla RoadsterCertain current investors in Anthropic and prospective investors in the company's upcoming public listing are considering a lower valuation for the Claude maker after its latest financial disclosures amid broader concerns over the ballooning AI valuations, Reuters reportsThe U.K.'s Competition and Markets Authority is proposing to designate Microsoftwith strategic market status in its business software ecosystemTravelersreported better-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenueExxon Mobilsaid that higher refining margins have added $4.5B to Q3 earnings2. WALL STREET CALLS:BofA double upgraded Fox Corp.to Buy from UnderperformWorkdaydowngraded to Sector Weight from OverweightRaymond James upgraded Capri Holdingsto Strong Buy from OutperformOppenheimer downgraded Equifaxto Perform from OutperformBrinkerupgraded to Strong Buy at Raymond James3. AROUND THE WEB:OpenAI has agreed not to use trade secrets that Appleclaims were stolen while their lawsuit plays out, and to collect forensic images of 14 employees' devices, Bloomberg reportsSeven Democratic senators accused Metaof potentially misusing federal R&D tax credits by claiming $6.6B over two years for AI data center construction, NY Times saysBritain's Labour government had tried to persuade UBSto shift its headquarters and stock market listing to London, FT reportsCircleis entering 40 emerging and developing countries as blockchain adoption is set to scale significantly, Reuters saysChinese automaker Geelysaid cars from its portfolio of brands will come included with Google'sin-car services, Reuters reports4. MOVERS:Alcoagains after reporting Q3 results, providing guidance for Q4, and backing its guidance for FY26Avino Silver & Gold Minesincreases in New York after Roth Capital upgraded the stock to BuyKarmanhigher after Macquarie initiated coverage of the stock with an Outperform ratingEmergent BioSolutionslower after announcing CFO Richard Lindahl will retireOmerosfalls after receiving a negative CHMP opinion on its MAA for narsoplimab5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Fox Factoryprovided guidance for Q3 and Q4, and cut its outlook for FY26Citizens Financialreported Q3 results, with EPS beating consensusRegions Financialreported Q3 results, with CEO John Turner stating the company is "delivering strong results"Private Bancorp of Americareported Q3 results, with EPS missing consensusM&T Bankreported Q3 results, with EPS beating consensusINDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 76.68, or 0.15%, to 52,254.37, the Nasdaq was down 302.14, or 1.13%, to 26,410.88, and the S&P 500 was down 33.10, or 0.43%, to 7,710.96.
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