ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc（ZTO）股票分析

$20.170

+0.151 (+0.75%)收盘时

Loading chart…
最高
20.230
开盘
20.230
成交量加权均价
20.14
成交量
1.59M
市值
16.84B
最低
20.010
成交额
32.07M
企业价值/息税折旧摊销前利润（TTM）
1.57

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

zto.investorroom.com

AI 分析 of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

持有

ZTO Express is currently priced at $20.15, which is below the recent analyst price target of $22, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 69.89, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. The company has shown a strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22% and a solid gross margin of 25.66% in the latest quarter, but it faces risks such as a downgrade in parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year and a sector-wide shift to quality over quantity. Given these factors, it may be prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

分析师评级（15）

买入
13 买入
0 持有
2 卖出
当前: 20.17
最低
—
平均
—
最高
—

JPMorgan

2026-09-02

目标价

$22

中性

Macquarie

2026-07-08

目标价

—

跑赢大盘

BofA

2026-05-27

目标价

$27

中性

Morgan Stanley

2026-05-20

目标价

—

增持

Daiwa

2026-03-18

目标价

—

跑赢大盘
查看全部评级

估值指标

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc（ZTO）当前预期市盈率为 9.38，5 年平均预期市盈率为 14.92。

预期市盈率

低估
5 年均值 P/E
14.92
当前P/E
9.38
高估
18.94
低估
10.89

预期 EV/EBITDA

低估
5 年均值 EV/EBITDA
7.92
当前EV/EBITDA
1.57
高估
11.38
低估
4.46

预期市销率

低估
5 年均值 P/S
2.65
当前P/S
0.24
高估
3.86
低估
1.43

Alphio AI 对 ZTO 的价格情景

情景价格取自当年最后一个月度预测区间。概率为固定的模型权重（25 / 50 / 25），不构成保证。

乐

乐观

乐观 · 25%ZTO

$21.48

情景价格

基

基准

基准 · 50%ZTO

$20.89

情景价格

悲

悲观

悲观 · 25%ZTO

$17.84

情景价格

持有 ZTO 的大户

E

Essence Fund Management Co., Ltd

+ 持有ZTO

+3.01%

3个月收益率

S

Shanghai Orient Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd.

+ 持有ZTO

-13.25%

3个月收益率

R

Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD

+ 持有ZTO

-15.02%

3个月收益率

A

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

+ 持有ZTO

-15.42%

3个月收益率

事件时间线

2026-09-21 (ET)

10:30:00

ZTO Express Shares Down 7.5% to $19.39

2026-05-19 (ET)

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.93B, Up 22% YoY

18:10:00

ZTO Reports Q1 Revenue Exceeds Expectations at RMB 13.282 Billion

2026-02-04 (ET)

08:30:00

ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes

05:20:00

Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B

查看更多事件

资讯

查看更多资讯

ZTO 常见问题 —— 由 Alphio AI 解答

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. It operates in the Industrials sector.

ZTO Express is currently priced at $20.15, which is below the recent analyst price target of $22, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 69.89, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory. The company has shown a strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22% and a solid gross margin of 25.66% in the latest quarter, but it faces risks such as a downgrade in parcel volume guidance to 6%-10% year-over-year and a sector-wide shift to quality over quantity. Given these factors, it may be prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

15 analysts cover ZTO: 13 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 2 Sell.

社区

更多 ↗
分享你对 ZTO 的看法
发布

暂无帖子

注册或登录后参与讨论

本页仅供研究参考，不构成投资建议。模型可能出错。过往表现不代表未来结果。

开始交易