XPO Inc

XPO Inc (XPO) Stock Analysis

$188.830

+3.814 (+2.02%)At close

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High
188.840
Open
184.270
VWAP
186.79
Volume
1.18M
Mkt Cap
11.99B
Low
182.695
Amount
220.56M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
14.83

XPO, Inc. is a provider of freight transportation services. The Company uses its proprietary technology to move goods through its customers supply chains in North America and Europe. It operates through two segments: North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the United States (U.S.), as well as Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. It also includes trailer manufacturing operations. The European Transportation segment offers a range of services, such as truckload, LTL, full truckload brokerage, warehousing, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and multimodal solutions. It serves a base of customers in consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The Company offers XPO Smart, its proprietary suite of intelligent tools and analytics that self-adjusts site by site to drive productivity across LTL service center operations.

www.xpo.com

AI analysis of XPO Inc (XPO)

Buy

XPO Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong recent earnings performance, with an EPS of 1.70 reported for Q2 2026, exceeding estimates by 14.09%. Additionally, the stock has shown a year-to-date change of +32.19%, indicating solid momentum. The forward P/E ratio is 26.95, suggesting that while the stock is relatively expensive, it is justified by the expected growth in free cash flow, projected to double to $800 million in 2026. The main risk is the recent downgrade in price targets by analysts, with Stifel lowering its target to $230 from $257, which may indicate potential volatility in the near term.

Analyst Ratings (20)

-17.80% Downside
Buy
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 188.83
Low
90.00
Average
155.22
High
171.00

Stifel

2026-10-08

Price Target

$230

Buy

BMO Capital

2026-10-07

Price Target

$245

Outperform

Truist

2026-10-07

Price Target

$220

Buy

Citi

2026-10-07

Price Target

$224

Buy

JPMorgan

2026-10-05

Price Target

$205

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for XPO Inc (XPO) is 26.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 25.10.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
25.10
Current P/E
26.95
Overvalued
35.27
Undervalued
14.94

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.52
Current EV/EBITDA
14.83
Overvalued
16.74
Undervalued
8.29

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
1.39
Current P/S
2.26
Overvalued
2.09
Undervalued
0.69

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for XPO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%XPO

$158.99

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%XPO

$137.46

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%XPO

$131.54

Scenario price

Whales holding XPO

G

Groupama Asset Management SA

+ HoldingXPO

+6.74%

3M Return

N

Nearwater Capital Markets, Limited

+ HoldingXPO

+4.86%

3M Return

B

Bessemer Investment Management LLC

+ HoldingXPO

+3.84%

3M Return

T

Traynor Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingXPO

+3.68%

3M Return

S

Slate Path Capital LP

+ HoldingXPO

+2.13%

3M Return

R

Rice Hall James & Associates, LLC

+ HoldingXPO

+0.56%

3M Return

XPO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

XPO, Inc. is a provider of freight transportation services. The Company uses its proprietary technology to move goods through its customers supply chains in North America and Europe. It operates through two segments: North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the United States (U.S.), as well as Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. It also includes trailer manufacturing operations. The European Transportation segment offers a range of services, such as truckload, LTL, full truckload brokerage, warehousing, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and multimodal solutions. It serves a base of customers in consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The Company offers XPO Smart, its proprietary suite of intelligent tools and analytics that self-adjusts site by site to drive productivity across LTL service center operations. It operates in the Industrials sector (TRANSPORTATION SERVICES industry).

XPO Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong recent earnings performance, with an EPS of 1.70 reported for Q2 2026, exceeding estimates by 14.09%. Additionally, the stock has shown a year-to-date change of +32.19%, indicating solid momentum. The forward P/E ratio is 26.95, suggesting that while the stock is relatively expensive, it is justified by the expected growth in free cash flow, projected to double to $800 million in 2026. The main risk is the recent downgrade in price targets by analysts, with Stifel lowering its target to $230 from $257, which may indicate potential volatility in the near term.

20 analysts cover XPO: 18 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 155.22.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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