Vale SA

Vale SA (VALE) Stock Analysis

$13.020

-0.187 (-1.44%)At close

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High
13.200
Open
12.980
VWAP
13.05
Volume
34.70M
Mkt Cap
47.72B
Low
12.940
Amount
452.94M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
5.64

Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries.

vale.com

AI analysis of Vale SA (VALE)

Buy

Vale SA is a good buy right now due to its current price of $13.62 being significantly lower than the analyst price target of $22 from JPMorgan, indicating a potential upside of 61%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 7.17 suggests that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings potential. However, investors should be cautious of the recent 20-day change of -10.57%, indicating short-term volatility.

Analyst Ratings (24)

+6.99% upside
Hold
10 Buy
12 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 13.02
Low
12.00
Average
13.93
High
15.50

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-07

Price Target

—

Equal Weight

JPMorgan

2026-09-30

Price Target

$22

Overweight

UBS

2026-09-29

Price Target

$15

Neutral

Bernstein

2026-09-09

Price Target

$12

Market Perform

Freedom Broker

2026-09-03

Price Target

$12

Sell

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Vale SA (VALE) is 7.17, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.86.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
5.86
Current P/E
7.17
Overvalued
7.03
Undervalued
4.69

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.17
Current EV/EBITDA
5.64
Overvalued
4.99
Undervalued
3.36

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.44
Current P/S
1.36
Overvalued
1.71
Undervalued
1.17

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for VALE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%VALE

$10.74

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%VALE

$9.21

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%VALE

$7.85

Scenario price

Whales holding VALE

B

Brazil

+ HoldingVALE

+39.40%

3M Return

P

PPLA Participations Ltd.

+ HoldingVALE

+22.87%

3M Return

I

Itau USA Asset Management Inc.

+ HoldingVALE

+9.99%

3M Return

C

Caixa Econômica Federal

+ HoldingVALE

+9.70%

3M Return

R

RWC Partners Limited

+ HoldingVALE

+7.31%

3M Return

E

Empowered Funds, LLC

+ HoldingVALE

+6.74%

3M Return

VALE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries. It operates in the Basic Materials sector.

Vale SA is a good buy right now due to its current price of $13.62 being significantly lower than the analyst price target of $22 from JPMorgan, indicating a potential upside of 61%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 7.17 suggests that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings potential. However, investors should be cautious of the recent 20-day change of -10.57%, indicating short-term volatility.

24 analysts cover VALE: 10 rate it Buy, 12 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 13.93.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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