Vale SA

Vale SA (VALE) Stock Analysis

$13.060

+0.040 (+0.31%)At close

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High
13.245
Open
13.050
VWAP
13.10
Volume
26.35M
Mkt Cap
47.72B
Low
12.990
Amount
345.16M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
5.59

Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries.

vale.com

AI analysis of Vale SA (VALE)

Hold

Vale SA is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $13.06, significantly below the analyst price target of $22 from JPMorgan, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 28.541, suggesting the stock is oversold, which may lead to further downside risk. The forward P/E ratio is 7.1736, indicating it is undervalued compared to its earnings potential, but recent performance shows a 5-day change of -4.11% and a 20-day change of -8.09%, which raises concerns about short-term momentum.

Analyst Ratings (24)

+6.66% upside
Hold
10 Buy
12 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 13.06
Low
12.00
Average
13.93
High
15.50

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-07

Price Target

—

Equal Weight

JPMorgan

2026-09-30

Price Target

$22

Overweight

UBS

2026-09-29

Price Target

$15

Neutral

Bernstein

2026-09-09

Price Target

$12

Market Perform

Freedom Broker

2026-09-03

Price Target

$12

Sell

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Vale SA (VALE) is 7.17, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.86.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
5.86
Current P/E
7.17
Overvalued
7.03
Undervalued
4.69

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.17
Current EV/EBITDA
5.59
Overvalued
4.99
Undervalued
3.36

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.44
Current P/S
1.34
Overvalued
1.71
Undervalued
1.17

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for VALE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%VALE

$10.74

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%VALE

$9.21

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%VALE

$7.85

Scenario price

Whales holding VALE

B

Brazil

+ HoldingVALE

+43.65%

3M Return

P

PPLA Participations Ltd.

+ HoldingVALE

+24.99%

3M Return

I

Itau USA Asset Management Inc.

+ HoldingVALE

+10.88%

3M Return

C

Caixa Econômica Federal

+ HoldingVALE

+10.01%

3M Return

R

RWC Partners Limited

+ HoldingVALE

+8.80%

3M Return

K

Kopernik Global Investors, LLC

+ HoldingVALE

+7.32%

3M Return

VALE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries. It operates in the Basic Materials sector.

Vale SA is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $13.06, significantly below the analyst price target of $22 from JPMorgan, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 28.541, suggesting the stock is oversold, which may lead to further downside risk. The forward P/E ratio is 7.1736, indicating it is undervalued compared to its earnings potential, but recent performance shows a 5-day change of -4.11% and a 20-day change of -8.09%, which raises concerns about short-term momentum.

24 analysts cover VALE: 10 rate it Buy, 12 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 13.93.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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