USA Rare Earth Inc

USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) Stock Analysis

$11.280

-0.515 (-4.57%)At close

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High
11.640
Open
11.590
VWAP
11.39
Volume
13.78M
Mkt Cap
—
Low
11.260
Amount
157.02M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-0.50

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a rare earth, critical minerals and advanced materials company. The Company is building a fully integrated rare earth and permanent magnet value chain across the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Brazil. Through its ownership of Less Common Metals (LCM), producers of rare earth metals and alloys, its development of magnet manufacturing capacity in Stillwater, Oklahoma, the Pela Ema mine in Brazil and the Round Top deposit in Texas, the Company operates across the entire value chain from mining to metal-making, alloy production and neodymium magnet manufacturing. Its Round Top deposit in Hudspeth County, Texas hosts 15 of the 17 rare earth elements, including all heavy rare earths (dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and others). It has developed in-house rare earth processing capabilities at its fully equipped Wheat Ridge, Colorado R&D laboratory. It operates a 310,000 sq. ft. sintered NdFeB permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

www.usare.com

AI analysis of USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR)

Sell

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is not a good buy right now due to significant financial losses and poor technical indicators. The current price is $12.56, with a one-year change of -67.53%, indicating a severe decline. Additionally, the RSI is at 13.648, suggesting the asset is heavily oversold. While there is potential for future growth with projected revenues soaring from $74 million this year to over $700 million next year, the company has not yet achieved profitability, with a forward P/E of 33.33 and a gross margin of -50.49%. The main risk is the company's historical performance, with a net income loss of $110.66 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about its ability to recover and execute its growth strategy effectively.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) is 33.33, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -27.67.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
-27.67
Current P/E
33.33
Overvalued
1.76
Undervalued
-57.10

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-48.01
Current EV/EBITDA
-0.50
Overvalued
-3.33
Undervalued
-92.69

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
69.92
Current P/S
6.22
Overvalued
155.74
Undervalued
-15.90

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for USAR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%USAR

$14.60

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%USAR

$14.05

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%USAR

$12.85

Scenario price

Whales holding USAR

A

Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.

+ HoldingUSAR

+5.82%

3M Return

W

W. H. Reaves & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingUSAR

-3.29%

3M Return

Z

Zimmer Partners, LP

+ HoldingUSAR

-6.08%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-01 (ET)

07:30:00

USA Rare Earth Completes CEO Succession Plan

2026-09-17 (ET)

07:30:00

USA Rare Earth Partners with Pasqal and Riven Systems for Separation Technology

2026-09-09 (ET)

10:30:00

USA Rare Earth Breaks Ground on New Facility in South Carolina

2026-09-04 (ET)

17:30:00

USA Rare Earth Files $1.25B Mixed Securities Shelf

09:00:00

August Jobs Report Strong, Stock Futures Mixed at Open

News

USAR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a rare earth, critical minerals and advanced materials company. The Company is building a fully integrated rare earth and permanent magnet value chain across the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Brazil. Through its ownership of Less Common Metals (LCM), producers of rare earth metals and alloys, its development of magnet manufacturing capacity in Stillwater, Oklahoma, the Pela Ema mine in Brazil and the Round Top deposit in Texas, the Company operates across the entire value chain from mining to metal-making, alloy production and neodymium magnet manufacturing. Its Round Top deposit in Hudspeth County, Texas hosts 15 of the 17 rare earth elements, including all heavy rare earths (dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and others). It has developed in-house rare earth processing capabilities at its fully equipped Wheat Ridge, Colorado R&D laboratory. It operates a 310,000 sq. ft. sintered NdFeB permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma. It operates in the Basic Materials sector.

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is not a good buy right now due to significant financial losses and poor technical indicators. The current price is $12.56, with a one-year change of -67.53%, indicating a severe decline. Additionally, the RSI is at 13.648, suggesting the asset is heavily oversold. While there is potential for future growth with projected revenues soaring from $74 million this year to over $700 million next year, the company has not yet achieved profitability, with a forward P/E of 33.33 and a gross margin of -50.49%. The main risk is the company's historical performance, with a net income loss of $110.66 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about its ability to recover and execute its growth strategy effectively.

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$USAR — Structure Is the Only Way to Play This Stock USAR is one of those names where structure has to lead the way. If you try to trade it off emotion, headlines, or intraday noise, it can be challenging. The volatility profile demands discipline. The cleanest approach is to let the structural levels do the work — primarily the high and low pivots. When you anchor your decisions to structure alone, the chop becomes background noise instead of a threat. This is one of the most important stocks in the space right now, but it has to be traded with respect. Structure first. Everything else second. $USAR

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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