USA Rare Earth Inc

USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) Stock Analysis

$17.990

-1.178 (-6.55%)At close

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High
19.735
Open
19.450
VWAP
18.51
Vol
12.95M
Mkt Cap
Low
17.805
Amount
239.68M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-0.58

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a rare earth, critical minerals and advanced materials company. The Company is building a fully integrated rare earth and permanent magnet value chain across the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Brazil. Through its ownership of Less Common Metals (LCM), producers of rare earth metals and alloys, its development of magnet manufacturing capacity in Stillwater, Oklahoma, the Pela Ema mine in Brazil and the Round Top deposit in Texas, the Company operates across the entire value chain from mining to metal-making, alloy production and neodymium magnet manufacturing. Its Round Top deposit in Hudspeth County, Texas hosts 15 of the 17 rare earth elements, including all heavy rare earths (dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and others). It has developed in-house rare earth processing capabilities at its fully equipped Wheat Ridge, Colorado R&D laboratory. It operates a 310,000 sq. ft. sintered NdFeB permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

www.usare.com

AI analysis of USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR)

hold

Given the current price of $17.99, the stock is trading significantly below its 52-week high of $40, indicating potential upside. However, the company is facing a high cash burn of $56.7 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about its financial health. The RSI is at 43.646, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory, but not yet a strong buy signal. Therefore, while there is potential for growth, the risks associated with cash burn and uncertain revenue streams suggest holding rather than buying at this time.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) is 0.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -36.54.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
-36.54
Current P/E
0.00
Overvalued
-17.50
Undervalued
-55.58

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-52.10
Current EV/EBITDA
-0.58
Overvalued
-7.85
Undervalued
-96.34

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
75.34
Current P/S
6.97
Overvalued
162.68
Undervalued
-12.00

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for USAR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%USAR

$14.60

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%USAR

$14.05

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%USAR

$12.85

Scenario price

Whales holding USAR

Z

Zimmer Partners, LP

+ HoldingUSAR

+1.59%

3M Return

A

Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.

+ HoldingUSAR

-0.45%

3M Return

W

W. H. Reaves & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingUSAR

-7.02%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-10 (ET)

19:30:00

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Shares Up 39.5%

17:00:00

Company Expects 600 MTPA Magnet Manufacturing Capacity by Q4 2026

17:00:00

USA Rare Earth Expects to Close Serra Verde Deal by End of August

17:00:00

USA Rare Earth Q2 Revenue $5.82M, Below Consensus

2026-07-23 (ET)

07:30:00

USA Rare Earth Acquires 13.6% Stake in Carester

News

USAR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a rare earth, critical minerals and advanced materials company. The Company is building a fully integrated rare earth and permanent magnet value chain across the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Brazil. Through its ownership of Less Common Metals (LCM), producers of rare earth metals and alloys, its development of magnet manufacturing capacity in Stillwater, Oklahoma, the Pela Ema mine in Brazil and the Round Top deposit in Texas, the Company operates across the entire value chain from mining to metal-making, alloy production and neodymium magnet manufacturing. Its Round Top deposit in Hudspeth County, Texas hosts 15 of the 17 rare earth elements, including all heavy rare earths (dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and others). It has developed in-house rare earth processing capabilities at its fully equipped Wheat Ridge, Colorado R&D laboratory. It operates a 310,000 sq. ft. sintered NdFeB permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma. It operates in the Basic Materials sector.

Given the current price of $17.99, the stock is trading significantly below its 52-week high of $40, indicating potential upside. However, the company is facing a high cash burn of $56.7 million in Q2 2026, which raises concerns about its financial health. The RSI is at 43.646, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory, but not yet a strong buy signal. Therefore, while there is potential for growth, the risks associated with cash burn and uncertain revenue streams suggest holding rather than buying at this time.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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