United Fire Group Inc

United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) Stock Analysis

$55.480

-0.300 (-0.54%)At close

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High
55.850
Open
55.320
VWAP
55.33
Volume
103.89K
Mkt Cap
531.47M
Low
54.645
Amount
5.75M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.09

United Fire Group, Inc. is engaged in the business of writing property and casualty insurance through a network of independent agencies. The Company's insurance company subsidiaries are licensed as property and casualty insurers in 50 states, plus the District of Columbia. Its business is comprised primarily of commercial lines of property and casualty insurance, including surety bonds. Its core commercial products support a variety of customers, including small business owners and middle market businesses operating in industries, such as construction, services, retail trade, financial and manufacturing, along with contract surety and commercial surety bonds offered through approximately 1,000 independent property and casualty agencies. It also provides specialty and surplus lines coverage through wholesale brokers on an admitted and non-admitted basis. Additionally, it offers reinsurance coverage for property and casualty insurance through traditional treaty reinsurance channels.

AI analysis of United Fire Group Inc (UFCS)

Buy

United Fire Group Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance, including a 54.97% year-to-date change and a significant earnings surprise of 85.71% in Q2 2026, where it reported earnings of $1.30 per share against an estimate of $0.70. The company also demonstrated a solid return on equity (ROE) of 15.46% in Q2 2026, indicating effective management and profitability. However, a notable risk is the 728.80% increase in insider selling, which may signal potential concerns about future performance.

Analyst Ratings (3)

-33.31% Downside
Hold
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 55.48
Low
37.00
Average
37.00
High
37.00

JonesResearch

2026-08-04

Price Target

$57

Buy

Piper Sandler

2026-05-07

Price Target

$57

Overweight

Piper Sandler

2026-05-06

Price Target

$45

Overweight

Piper Sandler

2026-02-12

Price Target

$41

Neutral

Piper Sandler

2025-12-22

Price Target

$37

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) is 14.10, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.00.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
12.00
Current P/E
14.10
Overvalued
28.65
Undervalued
-4.65

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.94
Current EV/EBITDA
6.09
Overvalued
3.15
Undervalued
-1.26

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.58
Current P/S
0.75
Overvalued
0.70
Undervalued
0.46

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for UFCS

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%UFCS

$31.82

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%UFCS

$28.33

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%UFCS

$25.53

Scenario price

Events Timeline

2026-08-03 (ET)

16:30:00

UFG Reports Q2 Revenue of $383.73M

2026-02-10 (ET)

16:10:00

UFG Reports Q4 Revenue of $365.81M

2025-08-05 (ET)

16:20:45

United Fire Group reports Q2 adjusted EPS 90c, consensus 56c

2025-05-06 (ET)

16:15:01

United Fire Group reports Q1 adjusted EPS 70c, consensus 61c

2024-11-05 (ET)

15:15:29

United Fire Group reports Q3 EPS 81c, consensus 33c

News

UFCS FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

United Fire Group, Inc. is engaged in the business of writing property and casualty insurance through a network of independent agencies. The Company's insurance company subsidiaries are licensed as property and casualty insurers in 50 states, plus the District of Columbia. Its business is comprised primarily of commercial lines of property and casualty insurance, including surety bonds. Its core commercial products support a variety of customers, including small business owners and middle market businesses operating in industries, such as construction, services, retail trade, financial and manufacturing, along with contract surety and commercial surety bonds offered through approximately 1,000 independent property and casualty agencies. It also provides specialty and surplus lines coverage through wholesale brokers on an admitted and non-admitted basis. Additionally, it offers reinsurance coverage for property and casualty insurance through traditional treaty reinsurance channels. It operates in the Financials sector (FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE industry).

United Fire Group Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong recent performance, including a 54.97% year-to-date change and a significant earnings surprise of 85.71% in Q2 2026, where it reported earnings of $1.30 per share against an estimate of $0.70. The company also demonstrated a solid return on equity (ROE) of 15.46% in Q2 2026, indicating effective management and profitability. However, a notable risk is the 728.80% increase in insider selling, which may signal potential concerns about future performance.

3 analysts cover UFCS: 1 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 37.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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