Toll Brothers Inc

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Stock Analysis

$146.220

+1.097 (+0.75%)At close

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High
149.190
Open
146.560
VWAP
146.58
Vol
816.59K
Mkt Cap
11.82B
Low
144.340
Amount
119.70M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
9.04

Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses. It designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached, attached, master-planned, resort-style golf, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. It also develops and operates urban and suburban for-rent apartment and student housing communities (Apartment Living) primarily through joint ventures. These projects are located in various metropolitan areas throughout the country and have generally been operated or developed with partners under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living.

AI analysis of Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

buy

Toll Brothers Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong Q3 earnings performance, with a reported EPS of 2.97, exceeding estimates by 2.41%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 10.69 suggests the stock is undervalued compared to its growth potential, especially in the luxury housing market, which remains resilient. The main risk is the RSI at 44.94, indicating potential weakness in momentum, but overall, the positive catalysts outweigh this risk.

Analyst Ratings (22)

+2.59% upside
Buy
12 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 146.22
Low
110.00
Average
150.00
High
181.00

Keefe Bruyette

2026-08-28

Price Target

$170

Outperform

Citi

2026-08-21

Price Target

$179

Buy

Truist

2026-08-20

Price Target

$170

Buy

Evercore ISI

2026-08-20

Price Target

$191

Outperform

UBS

2026-08-20

Price Target

$195

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) is 10.70, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.82.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
7.82
Current P/E
10.70
Overvalued
10.14
Undervalued
5.50

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.50
Current EV/EBITDA
9.04
Overvalued
8.19
Undervalued
4.82

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.97
Current P/S
1.22
Overvalued
1.25
Undervalued
0.69

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for TOL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%TOL

$135.21

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%TOL

$121.01

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%TOL

$109.12

Scenario price

Whales holding TOL

G

Greenhaven Associates Inc

+ HoldingTOL

+5.94%

3M Return

A

Anchor Capital Advisors LLC

+ HoldingTOL

+3.54%

3M Return

E

Edgestream Partners, L.P.

+ HoldingTOL

+3.23%

3M Return

C

Crestline Investors Inc.

+ HoldingTOL

+1.85%

3M Return

A

Annex Advisory Services, LLC

+ HoldingTOL

+1.83%

3M Return

H

Holocene Advisors, LP

+ HoldingTOL

+1.01%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-19 (ET)

09:00:00

SK Hynix Approves 40 Trillion Won Share Buyback

2026-08-18 (ET)

19:30:00

NASDAQ Drops 1.3% as US Stocks Retreat

2026-08-17 (ET)

19:30:00

S&P 500 Index Retreats for Second Consecutive Session

2026-07-10 (ET)

16:30:00

SK Hynix Raises $26.5B in U.S. IPO

12:00:00

SK Hynix Raises $26.5B in U.S. IPO

News

TOL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses. It designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached, attached, master-planned, resort-style golf, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. It also develops and operates urban and suburban for-rent apartment and student housing communities (Apartment Living) primarily through joint ventures. These projects are located in various metropolitan areas throughout the country and have generally been operated or developed with partners under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

Toll Brothers Inc is a good buy right now due to its strong Q3 earnings performance, with a reported EPS of 2.97, exceeding estimates by 2.41%. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 10.69 suggests the stock is undervalued compared to its growth potential, especially in the luxury housing market, which remains resilient. The main risk is the RSI at 44.94, indicating potential weakness in momentum, but overall, the positive catalysts outweigh this risk.

22 analysts cover TOL: 12 rate it Buy, 9 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 150.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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