Toll Brothers Inc

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Stock Analysis

$133.700

-0.241 (-0.18%)At close

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High
136.990
Open
134.530
VWAP
134.51
Volume
1.30M
Mkt Cap
11.82B
Low
132.840
Amount
175.10M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
8.49

Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses. It designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached, attached, master-planned, resort-style golf, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. It also develops and operates urban and suburban for-rent apartment and student housing communities (Apartment Living) primarily through joint ventures. These projects are located in various metropolitan areas throughout the country and have generally been operated or developed with partners under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living.

AI analysis of Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

Buy

Toll Brothers Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $133.70, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $165 and $179, indicating potential upside. The forward P/E ratio of 9.97 suggests the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade from Goldman Sachs, which lowered its price target to $161, indicating some market caution.

Analyst Ratings (22)

+12.19% upside
Buy
12 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 133.70
Low
110.00
Average
150.00
High
181.00

Goldman Sachs

2026-10-12

Price Target

$161

Neutral

Melius Research

2026-10-06

Price Target

$179

Buy

Barclays

2026-10-06

Price Target

$118

Underweight

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-01

Price Target

$159

Overweight

Keefe Bruyette

2026-08-28

Price Target

$170

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) is 9.97, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.90.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
7.90
Current P/E
9.97
Overvalued
10.24
Undervalued
5.55

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.57
Current EV/EBITDA
8.49
Overvalued
8.29
Undervalued
4.85

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.98
Current P/S
1.13
Overvalued
1.26
Undervalued
0.70

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for TOL

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%TOL

$135.21

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%TOL

$121.01

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%TOL

$109.12

Scenario price

Whales holding TOL

Z

Zurich Insurance Group AG

+ HoldingTOL

+4.48%

3M Return

D

Deroy & Devereaux Private Investment Counsel, Inc.

+ HoldingTOL

+3.51%

3M Return

G

Greenhaven Associates Inc

+ HoldingTOL

+3.20%

3M Return

I

IA Global Asset Management Inc.

+ HoldingTOL

+3.02%

3M Return

B

Baron Capital Group, Inc.

+ HoldingTOL

+2.54%

3M Return

H

Holocene Advisors, LP

+ HoldingTOL

+2.47%

3M Return

TOL FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses. It designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached, attached, master-planned, resort-style golf, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. It also develops and operates urban and suburban for-rent apartment and student housing communities (Apartment Living) primarily through joint ventures. These projects are located in various metropolitan areas throughout the country and have generally been operated or developed with partners under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

Toll Brothers Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $133.70, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $165 and $179, indicating potential upside. The forward P/E ratio of 9.97 suggests the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade from Goldman Sachs, which lowered its price target to $161, indicating some market caution.

22 analysts cover TOL: 12 rate it Buy, 9 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 150.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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