Transmedics Group Inc

Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) Stock Analysis

$70.780

-5.309 (-7.50%)At close

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High
76.520
Open
76.520
VWAP
72.44
Volume
1.07M
Mkt Cap
4.87B
Low
70.030
Amount
77.39M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
20.91

TransMedics Group, Inc. is a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart and liver failure. The Company specializes in portable extracorporeal warm perfusion and assessment of donor organs for transplantation. Its Organ Care System (OCS) is a portable organ perfusion, optimization and monitoring system that utilizes its customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside the human body. It also developed its National OCS Program (NOP), which is a turnkey solution to provide outsourced organ procurement, OCS perfusion management and transplant logistics services, to provide transplant programs in the United States. Its logistics services include aviation transportation and other coordination activities. Its NOP provides trained organ procurement surgeons, clinical specialists and transplant coordinators that provide an end-to-end clinical solution using its OCS technology.

AI analysis of Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX)

Hold

Transmedics Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and technical indicators. The stock is trading at $70.78, with a significant 5-day decline of 9.10% and a year-to-date drop of 42.31%. The RSI is very low at 20.755, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 37.31, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued at this price. The recent insider activity shows selling has increased by 186.38%, which raises concerns about confidence in the stock. While there is potential for growth with a projected sales increase of 22%-25% in 2026, the risks associated with high operating expenses and declining margins make it prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) is 37.31, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 3.51.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
3.51
Current P/E
37.31
Overvalued
93.49
Undervalued
-86.47

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.96
Current EV/EBITDA
20.91
Overvalued
99.76
Undervalued
-89.83

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
8.00
Current P/S
3.03
Overvalued
11.62
Undervalued
4.38

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for TMDX

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%TMDX

$209.55

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%TMDX

$160.57

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%TMDX

$150.34

Scenario price

Whales holding TMDX

B

Braidwell LP

+ HoldingTMDX

+15.28%

3M Return

Z

Zevenbergen Capital Investments LLC

+ HoldingTMDX

+1.77%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-10 (ET)

16:30:00

TransMedics Backs 2026 Revenue View of $737M-$757M

16:30:00

TransMedics Appoints Fernando Araujo as CFO

2026-08-04 (ET)

16:30:00

TransMedics Reports Q2 Revenue of $189.9M

16:30:00

FY26 Revenue Guidance Expected at $733.18M

2026-07-13 (ET)

12:30:00

TransMedics Stock Rises 8.0% to $76.90

News

TMDX FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

TransMedics Group, Inc. is a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart and liver failure. The Company specializes in portable extracorporeal warm perfusion and assessment of donor organs for transplantation. Its Organ Care System (OCS) is a portable organ perfusion, optimization and monitoring system that utilizes its customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside the human body. It also developed its National OCS Program (NOP), which is a turnkey solution to provide outsourced organ procurement, OCS perfusion management and transplant logistics services, to provide transplant programs in the United States. Its logistics services include aviation transportation and other coordination activities. Its NOP provides trained organ procurement surgeons, clinical specialists and transplant coordinators that provide an end-to-end clinical solution using its OCS technology. It operates in the Healthcare sector (ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS industry).

Transmedics Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and technical indicators. The stock is trading at $70.78, with a significant 5-day decline of 9.10% and a year-to-date drop of 42.31%. The RSI is very low at 20.755, indicating oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 37.31, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued at this price. The recent insider activity shows selling has increased by 186.38%, which raises concerns about confidence in the stock. While there is potential for growth with a projected sales increase of 22%-25% in 2026, the risks associated with high operating expenses and declining margins make it prudent to hold rather than buy at this time.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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