Transmedics Group Inc

Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) Stock Analysis

$88.430

-3.201 (-3.62%)At close

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High
93.450
Open
91.900
VWAP
90.08
Vol
631.16K
Mkt Cap
4.87B
Low
88.370
Amount
56.86M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
24.54

TransMedics Group, Inc. is a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart and liver failure. The Company specializes in portable extracorporeal warm perfusion and assessment of donor organs for transplantation. Its Organ Care System (OCS) is a portable organ perfusion, optimization and monitoring system that utilizes its customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside the human body. It also developed its National OCS Program (NOP), which is a turnkey solution to provide outsourced organ procurement, OCS perfusion management and transplant logistics services, to provide transplant programs in the United States. Its logistics services include aviation transportation and other coordination activities. Its NOP provides trained organ procurement surgeons, clinical specialists and transplant coordinators that provide an end-to-end clinical solution using its OCS technology.

AI analysis of Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX)

hold

Transmedics Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and outlook, despite some positive growth indicators. The current price is $88.43, and the RSI is at 39.23, indicating potential oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 64.52, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued at this level. The recent earnings report showed a disappointing EPS of 0.44, which was a 12% miss compared to estimates, and the stock has seen a 27.92% decline year-to-date. The main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 186.38% over the last month, indicating a lack of confidence among insiders.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) is 64.52, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 1.74.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
1.74
Current P/E
64.52
Overvalued
91.67
Undervalued
-88.19

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.37
Current EV/EBITDA
24.54
Overvalued
98.40
Undervalued
-91.67

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
8.35
Current P/S
3.64
Overvalued
12.14
Undervalued
4.55

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for TMDX

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%TMDX

$209.55

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%TMDX

$160.57

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%TMDX

$150.34

Scenario price

Whales holding TMDX

Z

Zevenbergen Capital Investments LLC

+ HoldingTMDX

-4.03%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-04 (ET)

16:30:00

TransMedics Reports Q2 Revenue of $189.9M

16:30:00

FY26 Revenue Guidance Expected at $733.18M

2026-07-13 (ET)

12:30:00

TransMedics Stock Rises 8.0% to $76.90

2026-07-06 (ET)

07:30:00

TransMedics Closes Strategic Investment in PAD Aviation

2026-05-06 (ET)

16:40:00

Major U.S. Indices Surge, Nasdaq Up 2.02%

News

TMDX FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

TransMedics Group, Inc. is a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart and liver failure. The Company specializes in portable extracorporeal warm perfusion and assessment of donor organs for transplantation. Its Organ Care System (OCS) is a portable organ perfusion, optimization and monitoring system that utilizes its customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside the human body. It also developed its National OCS Program (NOP), which is a turnkey solution to provide outsourced organ procurement, OCS perfusion management and transplant logistics services, to provide transplant programs in the United States. Its logistics services include aviation transportation and other coordination activities. Its NOP provides trained organ procurement surgeons, clinical specialists and transplant coordinators that provide an end-to-end clinical solution using its OCS technology. It operates in the Healthcare sector (ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS industry).

Transmedics Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and outlook, despite some positive growth indicators. The current price is $88.43, and the RSI is at 39.23, indicating potential oversold conditions. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 64.52, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued at this level. The recent earnings report showed a disappointing EPS of 0.44, which was a 12% miss compared to estimates, and the stock has seen a 27.92% decline year-to-date. The main risk is the insider selling, which has increased by 186.38% over the last month, indicating a lack of confidence among insiders.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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