SPS Commerce Inc

SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC) Stock Analysis

$85.250

-1.543 (-1.81%)At close

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High
89.000
Open
87.860
VWAP
86.22
Volume
465.56K
Mkt Cap
6.96B
Low
84.410
Amount
40.14M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
14.79

SPS Commerce, Inc. is a provider of retail supply chain cloud services, connecting trading partners around the globe to optimize supply chain operations for all retail partners. The Company supports data-driven partnerships with innovative cloud technology and customer-obsessed service that focuses on retail, grocery, distribution, supply, manufacturing, and logistics firms. The Company's products include Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other products. Fulfillment products offer a comprehensive solution designed to streamline supply chain operations. The Analytics products simplifies managing sell-through data from our customers business partners by handling data acquisition, cleansing, normalization, and delivery. Its Other products offer complementary products, such as assortment and community. In addition to these offerings, it also provides one-time services such as professional services and testing and certification.

AI analysis of SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)

Buy

SPS Commerce Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $84.59, which is below the analyst price target of $100 from Needham, indicating a potential upside of 18%. Additionally, the stock has shown a positive momentum with a 5-day change of +2.72% and a relatively strong RSI of 68.69, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory but still has room for growth. The main risk is its forward P/E ratio of 68.03, which indicates high expectations for future earnings that may not materialize, especially given the recent slowdown in revenue growth.

Analyst Ratings (11)

+16.28% upside
Buy
6 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 85.25
Low
80.00
Average
99.13
High
110.00

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-31

Price Target

$59

Underweight

Cantor Fitzgerald

2026-07-31

Price Target

$70

Neutral

Stifel

2026-07-31

Price Target

$70

Hold

Baird

2026-07-31

Price Target

$78

Neutral

Citi

2026-07-21

Price Target

$82

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC) is 68.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 54.10.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
54.10
Current P/E
68.03
Overvalued
69.73
Undervalued
38.47

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
27.55
Current EV/EBITDA
14.79
Overvalued
37.03
Undervalued
18.06

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
8.29
Current P/S
3.65
Overvalued
11.34
Undervalued
5.25

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for SPSC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%SPSC

$204.23

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%SPSC

$174.74

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%SPSC

$146.56

Scenario price

Whales holding SPSC

D

Disciplined Growth Investors, Inc.

+ HoldingSPSC

+5.11%

3M Return

V

Van Berkom and Associates Inc.

+ HoldingSPSC

+0.24%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-11 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Surge as Inflation Pressure Eases

15:00:00

Citi Analyst Says SPS Commerce May Be Acquired by GTCR, Target Price $94

11:30:00

SPS Commerce in Talks to Be Bought by GTCR

11:30:00

GTCR in Talks to Acquire SPS Commerce

11:30:00

SPS Commerce Shares Jump 11% on Go-Private Talks Report

News

SPSC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

SPS Commerce, Inc. is a provider of retail supply chain cloud services, connecting trading partners around the globe to optimize supply chain operations for all retail partners. The Company supports data-driven partnerships with innovative cloud technology and customer-obsessed service that focuses on retail, grocery, distribution, supply, manufacturing, and logistics firms. The Company's products include Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other products. Fulfillment products offer a comprehensive solution designed to streamline supply chain operations. The Analytics products simplifies managing sell-through data from our customers business partners by handling data acquisition, cleansing, normalization, and delivery. Its Other products offer complementary products, such as assortment and community. In addition to these offerings, it also provides one-time services such as professional services and testing and certification. It operates in the Technology sector (SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE industry).

SPS Commerce Inc is a good buy right now due to its current price of $84.59, which is below the analyst price target of $100 from Needham, indicating a potential upside of 18%. Additionally, the stock has shown a positive momentum with a 5-day change of +2.72% and a relatively strong RSI of 68.69, suggesting it is nearing overbought territory but still has room for growth. The main risk is its forward P/E ratio of 68.03, which indicates high expectations for future earnings that may not materialize, especially given the recent slowdown in revenue growth.

11 analysts cover SPSC: 6 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 99.13.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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