PennyMac Financial Services Inc

PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) Stock Analysis

$59.290

+0.451 (+0.76%)At close

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High
60.100
Open
59.240
VWAP
59.28
Volume
726.14K
Mkt Cap
4.72B
Low
58.450
Amount
43.05M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
137.36

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. is a specialty financial services company, which is focused on the production and servicing of the United States mortgage loans and the management of investments related to the United States mortgage market. The Company operates through two segments: production and servicing. The production segment performs loan origination, acquisition and sale activities for its account, as well as for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT). Its loan production segment sources new prime credit quality residential conventional and government-insured or guaranteed mortgage loans through three channels: correspondent production, broker direct lending and consumer direct lending. The servicing segment performs servicing and subservicing of loans on behalf of non-affiliate investors, execution and management of early buyout transactions, and servicing of loans sourced and managed for PMT.

AI analysis of PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI)

Sell

PennyMac Financial Services Inc is not a good buy right now due to significant recent underperformance and negative market sentiment. The current price is $59.90, which is below the analyst price targets of $71 from both Piper Sandler and Barclays. Additionally, the stock has experienced a year-to-date change of -54.45%, indicating a substantial decline in value. The RSI is at 20.374, signaling that the stock is oversold, but this does not guarantee a price recovery in the near term. The main risk is the ongoing legal investigations and a recent earnings miss, where the reported EPS of $1.39 was significantly below the expected $2.08, reflecting a -33.17% surprise. Given these factors, it is advisable to sell or hold off on purchasing until there are clearer signs of recovery and stability in the company's performance.

Analyst Ratings (8)

+153.48% upside
Hold
3 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 59.29
Low
143.00
Average
150.29
High
160.00

Piper Sandler

2026-10-09

Price Target

$71

Neutral

Barclays

2026-10-05

Price Target

$71

Equal Weight

BTIG

2026-07-31

Price Target

$90

Buy

BTIG

2026-07-30

Price Target

$90

Buy

Deutsche Bank

2026-07-30

Price Target

$100

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) is 8.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.22.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
8.22
Current P/E
8.95
Overvalued
9.85
Undervalued
6.59

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.35
Current EV/EBITDA
137.36
Overvalued
45.07
Undervalued
-20.37

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
2.00
Current P/S
1.11
Overvalued
2.43
Undervalued
1.58

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for PFSI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%PFSI

$155.99

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%PFSI

$134.90

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%PFSI

$108.14

Scenario price

Whales holding PFSI

R

Rubric Capital Management LP

+ HoldingPFSI

+1.27%

3M Return

S

Senvest Management, LLC

+ HoldingPFSI

-1.13%

3M Return

K

Kinetic Partners Management LP

+ HoldingPFSI

-3.47%

3M Return

D

Donald Smith & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingPFSI

-3.61%

3M Return

M

MFN Partners Management, LP

+ HoldingPFSI

-8.35%

3M Return

B

Basswood Capital Management, L.L.C.

+ HoldingPFSI

-12.84%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

16:30:00

PennyMac Financial Sees Adjusted ROE in High Single Digits Through 2026

16:30:00

PennyMac Financial Reports Q2 Revenue of $497M

2026-06-16 (ET)

08:30:00

PennyMac Expands Strategic Agreement with Amazon Web Services

2026-05-05 (ET)

16:40:00

PennyMac Financial Reports Q1 Revenue of $544.98M

News

PFSI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. is a specialty financial services company, which is focused on the production and servicing of the United States mortgage loans and the management of investments related to the United States mortgage market. The Company operates through two segments: production and servicing. The production segment performs loan origination, acquisition and sale activities for its account, as well as for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT). Its loan production segment sources new prime credit quality residential conventional and government-insured or guaranteed mortgage loans through three channels: correspondent production, broker direct lending and consumer direct lending. The servicing segment performs servicing and subservicing of loans on behalf of non-affiliate investors, execution and management of early buyout transactions, and servicing of loans sourced and managed for PMT. It operates in the Financials sector (MORTGAGE BANKERS & LOAN CORRESPONDENTS industry).

PennyMac Financial Services Inc is not a good buy right now due to significant recent underperformance and negative market sentiment. The current price is $59.90, which is below the analyst price targets of $71 from both Piper Sandler and Barclays. Additionally, the stock has experienced a year-to-date change of -54.45%, indicating a substantial decline in value. The RSI is at 20.374, signaling that the stock is oversold, but this does not guarantee a price recovery in the near term. The main risk is the ongoing legal investigations and a recent earnings miss, where the reported EPS of $1.39 was significantly below the expected $2.08, reflecting a -33.17% surprise. Given these factors, it is advisable to sell or hold off on purchasing until there are clearer signs of recovery and stability in the company's performance.

8 analysts cover PFSI: 3 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 150.29.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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